2015 College Football Predictive Ratings |
Rk |
College |
Conference |
Rat |
W |
L |
R0 |
R1 |
R2 |
R3 |
R4 |
R5 |
R6 |
R7 |
R8 |
R9 |
R10 |
R11 |
R12 |
R13 |
R14 |
R15 |
R16 |
R17 |
1 | Alabama | SEC | 28.0 | 13 | 1 | 23.7 | 25.0 | 24.7 | 24.2 | 22.8 | 25.0 | 23.7 | 24.1 | 23.2 | 23.2 | 23.2 | 24.7 | 24.5 | 25.1 | 25.3 | 25.3 | 27.9 | 28.0 |
3 | Clemson | ACC | 23.6 | 13 | 1 | 16.2 | 16.3 | 15.8 | 15.1 | 17.9 | 17.6 | 19.4 | 19.3 | 25.7 | 25.3 | 24.9 | 23.4 | 22.6 | 22.2 | 22.5 | 22.5 | 23.6 | 23.6 |
4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 22.4 | 12 | 1 | 23.1 | 25.3 | 25.7 | 21.4 | 19.4 | 17.7 | 16.8 | 18.9 | 21.1 | 21.2 | 20.3 | 21.0 | 20.0 | 21.9 | 21.9 | 21.9 | 22.4 | 22.4 |
7 | Stanford | Pac 12 | 20.3 | 12 | 2 | 13.7 | 9.3 | 10.7 | 16.0 | 16.6 | 19.3 | 18.0 | 18.5 | 19.2 | 18.1 | 19.2 | 18.0 | 18.1 | 17.9 | 19.1 | 19.1 | 20.3 | 20.3 |
19 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 14.1 | 12 | 2 | 16.2 | 15.0 | 14.4 | 12.1 | 11.0 | 8.3 | 7.2 | 11.2 | 11.9 | 12.7 | 12.5 | 12.6 | 14.1 | 15.7 | 15.7 | 15.8 | 14.1 | 14.1 |
23 | Houston | American Athletic | 12.9 | 12 | 1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 8.6 | 9.7 | 8.4 | 9.6 | 13.5 | 14.9 | 13.9 | 12.9 | 10.7 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 11.9 | 12.9 | 12.9 |
34 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 9.8 | 12 | 2 | -5.2 | -2.4 | -1.7 | -0.6 | 3.0 | 6.9 | 8.9 | 7.6 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 7.9 | 8.7 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 9.8 | 9.8 |
2 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 26.0 | 11 | 2 | 16.5 | 17.3 | 19.4 | 16.5 | 17.8 | 20.4 | 16.9 | 22.2 | 24.5 | 25.8 | 26.2 | 27.3 | 26.4 | 28.3 | 28.2 | 28.2 | 26.0 | 26.0 |
32 | Iowa | Big Ten | 11.0 | 11 | 2 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 9.5 | 11.2 | 10.1 | 13.6 | 14.0 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 12.6 | 12.4 | 12.8 | 12.8 | 12.8 | 11.0 | 11.0 |
11 | Notre Dame | Independent | 16.9 | 10 | 3 | 13.6 | 20.6 | 19.7 | 19.8 | 17.0 | 16.8 | 17.9 | 18.5 | 19.7 | 18.9 | 19.6 | 18.9 | 17.7 | 17.8 | 18.0 | 17.9 | 16.9 | 16.9 |
13 | Texas Christian | Big 12 | 16.7 | 10 | 2 | 18.4 | 17.6 | 17.4 | 12.7 | 13.7 | 16.8 | 19.3 | 18.5 | 18.3 | 20.7 | 19.0 | 15.8 | 17.1 | 17.6 | 17.5 | 17.4 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
15 | Michigan | Big Ten | 16.4 | 10 | 3 | 8.0 | 7.5 | 10.8 | 9.4 | 15.4 | 17.1 | 19.8 | 17.3 | 17.4 | 16.1 | 16.6 | 15.8 | 16.3 | 14.4 | 14.4 | 14.5 | 16.4 | 16.4 |
24 | Utah | Pac 12 | 12.8 | 10 | 3 | 8.8 | 9.6 | 8.7 | 9.1 | 16.9 | 17.3 | 17.1 | 18.5 | 16.2 | 15.2 | 15.8 | 14.5 | 13.5 | 12.3 | 12.3 | 12.3 | 12.8 | 12.8 |
28 | Florida | SEC | 11.7 | 10 | 4 | 14.7 | 16.8 | 13.3 | 12.3 | 12.7 | 17.5 | 18.5 | 17.9 | 17.4 | 19.3 | 17.4 | 17.2 | 15.0 | 13.2 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 11.7 | 11.7 |
29 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11.6 | 10 | 3 | 10.7 | 9.7 | 15.0 | 13.7 | 13.3 | 11.3 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 11.4 | 12.7 | 12.6 | 12.3 | 10.9 | 11.0 | 11.2 | 11.2 | 11.6 | 11.6 |
35 | Navy | American Athletic | 9.3 | 10 | 2 | -6.9 | -6.7 | -6.7 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 8.6 | 10.4 | 11.6 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 8.5 | 9.3 | 9.3 |
46 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6.8 | 10 | 2 | -4.5 | -4.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 6.8 |
48 | Bowling Green State | Mid-American | 6.6 | 10 | 4 | -10.5 | -11.6 | -4.3 | -2.7 | -2.8 | -2.5 | -1.5 | 2.7 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 7.6 | 8.8 | 6.8 | 8.5 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 6.6 |
50 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4.9 | 10 | 3 | -4.3 | -4.2 | -7.5 | -11.5 | -12.0 | -11.3 | -9.3 | -6.5 | -2.4 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 4.9 |
51 | Temple | American Athletic | 4.9 | 10 | 4 | -3.3 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 4.9 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 5.9 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 5.7 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 |
65 | Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 1.6 | 10 | 2 | -13.3 | -13.2 | -12.7 | -13.0 | -2.2 | -2.8 | -0.4 | 4.7 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
5 | Baylor | Big 12 | 21.1 | 9 | 3 | 16.0 | 17.8 | 18.9 | 19.5 | 24.3 | 25.5 | 29.8 | 30.9 | 27.9 | 27.5 | 25.6 | 24.3 | 25.0 | 23.8 | 21.6 | 21.5 | 21.1 | 21.1 |
6 | Mississippi | SEC | 20.4 | 9 | 3 | 17.3 | 17.4 | 23.2 | 25.7 | 22.0 | 17.4 | 17.1 | 14.9 | 16.1 | 16.6 | 15.5 | 16.2 | 17.0 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 20.4 | 20.4 |
9 | North Carolina | ACC | 17.9 | 9 | 3 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 10.7 | 10.8 | 12.4 | 11.9 | 14.7 | 13.8 | 14.0 | 17.2 | 19.1 | 18.7 | 19.2 | 18.9 | 18.9 | 17.9 | 17.9 |
10 | LSU | SEC | 17.0 | 9 | 3 | 16.8 | 16.9 | 17.7 | 22.0 | 20.5 | 16.4 | 15.7 | 16.4 | 18.3 | 18.1 | 17.7 | 15.3 | 13.9 | 14.7 | 14.7 | 14.7 | 17.0 | 17.0 |
12 | Florida State | ACC | 16.8 | 9 | 3 | 17.8 | 20.8 | 19.2 | 18.4 | 17.3 | 16.0 | 15.0 | 16.6 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 16.0 | 16.4 | 18.6 | 18.5 | 18.5 | 16.8 | 16.8 |
22 | Georgia | SEC | 12.9 | 9 | 3 | 20.9 | 20.8 | 20.3 | 23.6 | 24.7 | 18.5 | 17.0 | 15.2 | 14.8 | 12.7 | 13.2 | 13.7 | 12.2 | 12.5 | 12.2 | 12.2 | 12.9 | 12.9 |
26 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 12.3 | 9 | 3 | 7.7 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 14.7 | 13.8 | 12.8 | 15.5 | 14.8 | 16.7 | 17.2 | 18.9 | 17.8 | 17.4 | 14.9 | 14.8 | 14.8 | 12.3 | 12.3 |
39 | Washington State | Pac 12 | 8.1 | 9 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3.4 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 7.4 | 8.7 | 9.4 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 8.1 | 8.1 |
59 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2.5 | 9 | 3 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 10.1 | 7.7 | 10.3 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
67 | Marshall | Conference USA | 1.2 | 9 | 3 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 0.9 | -0.2 | -1.9 | -2.1 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -2.3 | -1.9 | -2.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
8 | Tennessee | SEC | 18.5 | 8 | 4 | 13.6 | 14.9 | 15.2 | 14.9 | 15.2 | 14.2 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 17.3 | 19.5 | 17.9 | 16.7 | 16.2 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 18.5 | 18.5 |
14 | Mississippi State | SEC | 16.5 | 8 | 4 | 15.6 | 14.3 | 13.7 | 15.2 | 17.0 | 14.8 | 13.3 | 14.1 | 16.4 | 16.2 | 17.4 | 15.2 | 15.2 | 14.2 | 14.3 | 14.3 | 16.5 | 16.5 |
16 | USC | Pac 12 | 16.4 | 8 | 6 | 17.8 | 23.0 | 24.1 | 19.2 | 21.4 | 23.0 | 20.4 | 19.5 | 21.0 | 20.8 | 19.6 | 18.2 | 16.7 | 17.6 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 16.4 | 16.4 |
20 | Oregon | Pac 12 | 13.6 | 8 | 4 | 21.2 | 21.3 | 19.3 | 15.6 | 6.5 | 7.8 | 5.0 | 8.7 | 8.3 | 9.8 | 10.9 | 12.4 | 14.5 | 13.3 | 13.6 | 13.6 | 13.6 | 13.6 |
27 | UCLA | Pac 12 | 12.3 | 8 | 5 | 16.7 | 17.9 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 18.6 | 14.3 | 15.3 | 12.8 | 14.1 | 11.8 | 14.0 | 13.0 | 13.7 | 12.8 | 12.9 | 12.9 | 12.3 | 12.3 |
33 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10.4 | 8 | 4 | 4.9 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 12.5 | 16.5 | 18.8 | 14.6 | 12.1 | 12.7 | 12.3 | 8.5 | 7.1 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 10.4 | 10.4 |
38 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8.6 | 8 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 8.0 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 9.5 | 11.4 | 11.2 | 8.1 | 9.5 | 7.4 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 10.4 | 8.6 | 8.6 |
40 | Brigham Young | Independent | 8.0 | 8 | 4 | 1.6 | 6.6 | 8.7 | 11.3 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 6.7 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
63 | Southern Mississippi | Conference USA | 1.8 | 8 | 5 | -12.1 | -10.4 | -10.6 | -8.9 | -6.6 | -5.1 | -7.5 | -5.7 | -4.1 | -4.7 | -4.9 | -0.7 | -0.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
66 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 1.2 | 8 | 4 | -9.9 | -14.7 | -7.9 | -8.0 | -4.6 | -3.0 | -3.4 | -2.3 | -3.5 | -3.0 | -3.4 | -0.8 | 0.6 | 1.9 | -1.7 | -1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
70 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 0.3 | 8 | 4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 2.0 | -0.9 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
86 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | -4.2 | 8 | 4 | -6.5 | -11.5 | -8.9 | -11.2 | -13.3 | -12.2 | -12.9 | -10.4 | -9.6 | -10.1 | -7.6 | -5.2 | -5.2 | -4.6 | -3.3 | -3.3 | -4.2 | -4.2 |
18 | Arkansas | SEC | 15.7 | 7 | 5 | 14.3 | 15.2 | 8.7 | 6.4 | 7.2 | 9.2 | 9.9 | 9.6 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 10.7 | 13.0 | 13.1 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 15.7 | 15.7 |
21 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 13.5 | 7 | 5 | 9.9 | 15.0 | 17.2 | 17.1 | 21.2 | 17.7 | 15.3 | 15.5 | 15.8 | 13.4 | 12.8 | 13.3 | 15.2 | 15.6 | 14.6 | 14.6 | 13.5 | 13.5 |
25 | Texas A&M | SEC | 12.5 | 7 | 5 | 14.5 | 19.5 | 19.4 | 16.7 | 16.1 | 18.0 | 17.9 | 15.0 | 13.7 | 12.7 | 10.8 | 11.1 | 12.5 | 12.0 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
31 | California | Pac 12 | 11.3 | 7 | 5 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 9.8 | 8.5 | 10.4 | 8.7 | 11.5 | 12.2 | 11.1 | 11.2 | 10.1 | 10.6 | 10.7 | 10.2 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 11.3 | 11.3 |
36 | Louisville | ACC | 9.1 | 7 | 5 | 9.4 | 10.3 | 6.9 | 6.4 | 7.6 | 9.3 | 9.0 | 7.8 | 8.5 | 7.4 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 7.6 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 9.2 | 9.1 |
41 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7.9 | 7 | 5 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 7.2 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 9.2 | 9.0 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 10.0 | 10.3 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 7.9 |
49 | South Florida | American Athletic | 6.3 | 7 | 5 | -3.9 | -3.8 | -1.7 | -5.5 | -6.4 | -6.8 | -3.3 | -0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 6.1 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 6.3 |
52 | Miami (Fla.) | ACC | 4.8 | 7 | 5 | 12.0 | 12.1 | 13.9 | 12.8 | 11.5 | 7.4 | 8.3 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 4.8 |
54 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4.3 | 7 | 6 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
56 | Duke | ACC | 3.7 | 7 | 5 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 7.1 | 4.7 | 7.5 | 7.4 | 9.9 | 8.9 | 10.2 | 8.7 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
60 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2.2 | 7 | 5 | -6.0 | -4.5 | -10.8 | -11.4 | -9.4 | -9.9 | -9.7 | -2.5 | -3.2 | -1.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
73 | Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0 | 7 | 6 | -9.0 | -8.9 | -5.4 | -3.5 | -2.7 | -4.9 | -5.8 | -7.2 | -5.8 | -1.2 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
83 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | -3.1 | 7 | 6 | -7.2 | -8.2 | -8.5 | -1.5 | -1.0 | -2.5 | -1.9 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -3.1 | -3.1 |
92 | Ohio U. | Mid-American | -7.7 | 7 | 5 | -13.1 | -9.6 | -5.0 | -5.6 | -5.2 | -5.2 | -2.8 | -8.5 | -11.0 | -10.6 | -11.8 | -10.0 | -9.2 | -7.8 | -7.8 | -7.8 | -7.7 | -7.7 |
94 | Akron | Mid-American | -8.8 | 7 | 5 | -15.3 | -15.8 | -15.4 | -16.0 | -9.7 | -9.4 | -6.9 | -11.7 | -11.2 | -11.3 | -11.2 | -10.8 | -9.7 | -8.9 | -9.0 | -9.0 | -8.8 | -8.8 |
17 | Washington | Pac 12 | 15.7 | 6 | 6 | 11.6 | 10.2 | 9.8 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 10.0 | 14.7 | 12.6 | 10.7 | 14.4 | 13.0 | 11.5 | 13.5 | 15.2 | 15.3 | 15.3 | 15.7 | 15.7 |
30 | Auburn | SEC | 11.4 | 6 | 6 | 19.5 | 18.9 | 17.8 | 13.8 | 12.1 | 9.7 | 9.3 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 8.4 | 10.8 | 10.0 | 8.9 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 11.3 | 11.4 |
42 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7.9 | 6 | 7 | 13.0 | 8.4 | 11.4 | 13.1 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 7.7 | 9.6 | 7.8 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 7.1 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.9 | 7.9 |
43 | North Carolina State | ACC | 7.8 | 6 | 6 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 7.4 | 11.3 | 9.1 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 9.1 | 8.9 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 7.8 | 7.8 |
44 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7.5 | 6 | 6 | 10.2 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 10.8 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 7.1 | 8.6 | 7.9 | 8.4 | 8.9 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
45 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6.8 | 6 | 6 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 9.8 | 12.6 | 11.6 | 9.8 | 13.0 | 11.2 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 8.2 | 8.9 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 6.8 | 6.8 |
62 | Arizona | Pac 12 | 2.0 | 6 | 6 | 10.9 | 6.7 | 8.9 | 8.2 | 4.6 | 0.5 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
68 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 0.6 | 6 | 7 | 4.9 | 6.0 | 5.3 | -0.7 | -1.4 | -2.8 | 0.4 | -2.4 | -3.2 | -1.7 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
75 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | -0.3 | 6 | 6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | -1.1 | -4.5 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.4 | -0.3 | -0.3 |
80 | Middle Tennessee State | Conference USA | -2.6 | 6 | 6 | -8.4 | -8.2 | -5.3 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | -1.8 | -1.9 | -4.7 | -5.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 | -3.8 | -2.3 | -2.2 | -2.2 | -2.6 | -2.6 |
82 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | -2.9 | 6 | 6 | -10.0 | -9.1 | -9.1 | -5.2 | -5.1 | -4.3 | -5.0 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -2.0 | -2.1 | -2.1 | -2.9 | -2.9 |
88 | Tulsa | American Athletic | -6.8 | 6 | 7 | -11.8 | -11.2 | -7.5 | -5.2 | -5.0 | -5.1 | -6.5 | -6.2 | -7.4 | -6.4 | -6.8 | -6.5 | -7.5 | -7.1 | -7.1 | -7.3 | -6.8 | -6.8 |
91 | Colorado State | Mountain West | -7.7 | 6 | 6 | -4.4 | -4.3 | -3.3 | -4.9 | -6.2 | -7.5 | -7.5 | -6.6 | -7.5 | -8.9 | -7.9 | -7.5 | -7.2 | -7.9 | -7.9 | -7.9 | -7.7 | -7.7 |
95 | Nevada | Mountain West | -8.9 | 6 | 6 | -6.5 | -6.4 | -10.2 | -7.2 | -7.0 | -9.8 | -8.0 | -10.8 | -10.3 | -11.4 | -10.6 | -10.2 | -9.7 | -10.0 | -10.0 | -10.0 | -8.9 | -8.9 |
98 | New Mexico | Mountain West | -10.7 | 6 | 6 | -12.9 | -12.7 | -18.2 | -16.5 | -15.6 | -15.1 | -16.3 | -16.8 | -17.3 | -17.6 | -15.7 | -12.7 | -13.2 | -11.8 | -11.8 | -11.8 | -10.7 | -10.7 |
100 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | -13.6 | 6 | 6 | -23.0 | -25.0 | -23.7 | -23.3 | -25.1 | -24.8 | -27.7 | -22.1 | -22.7 | -22.2 | -21.8 | -18.7 | -17.6 | -17.0 | -13.4 | -13.4 | -13.6 | -13.6 |
37 | Arizona State | Pac 12 | 9.0 | 5 | 7 | 13.6 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 9.1 | 9.7 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 7.0 | 6.2 | 7.6 | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 9.0 | 9.0 |
55 | Texas | Big 12 | 4.2 | 5 | 7 | 10.9 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 3.7 | -1.1 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
58 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 2.9 | 5 | 7 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 13.4 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 11.5 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
61 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2.0 | 5 | 7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | -1.2 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
76 | Utah State | Mountain West | -0.3 | 5 | 7 | -7.1 | -6.9 | -4.1 | -3.2 | -1.4 | -0.1 | 4.7 | 9.4 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.3 |
87 | Connecticut | American Athletic | -4.8 | 5 | 7 | -12.9 | -12.8 | -13.0 | -8.4 | -8.5 | -6.6 | -3.6 | -4.7 | -7.0 | -4.6 | -5.0 | -4.9 | -3.7 | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.8 | -4.8 |
90 | San Jose State | Mountain West | -7.6 | 5 | 7 | -11.9 | -11.8 | -15.3 | -14.4 | -9.8 | -8.8 | -9.0 | -12.5 | -11.9 | -11.2 | -9.5 | -9.2 | -8.6 | -9.0 | -9.0 | -9.0 | -7.6 | -7.6 |
57 | Missouri | SEC | 3.2 | 4 | 7 | 11.8 | 11.9 | 8.7 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
71 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 0.2 | 4 | 7 | -3.4 | -3.3 | 0.8 | -4.4 | -1.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
72 | Kentucky | SEC | 0.1 | 4 | 7 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
77 | Illinois | Big Ten | -0.4 | 4 | 7 | -0.4 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 1.4 | -2.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.4 |
99 | Buffalo | Mid-American | -13.0 | 4 | 7 | -15.2 | -15.0 | -13.1 | -7.0 | -8.7 | -10.0 | -9.2 | -12.7 | -9.8 | -9.9 | -10.1 | -10.3 | -11.4 | -12.5 | -12.5 | -12.5 | -13.0 | -13.0 |
104 | Florida International | Conference USA | -15.7 | 4 | 7 | -11.5 | -7.6 | -8.3 | -8.2 | -7.0 | -9.4 | -7.6 | -8.2 | -7.5 | -9.7 | -9.9 | -12.9 | -15.9 | -15.8 | -15.8 | -15.8 | -15.7 | -15.7 |
111 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | -18.8 | 4 | 7 | -13.4 | -13.3 | -16.7 | -12.5 | -19.2 | -17.7 | -17.6 | -19.3 | -19.6 | -19.4 | -18.8 | -18.2 | -18.9 | -20.0 | -19.2 | -19.1 | -18.8 | -18.8 |
113 | Rice | Conference USA | -19.4 | 4 | 7 | -7.8 | -7.7 | -7.4 | -6.0 | -10.4 | -15.6 | -13.5 | -13.3 | -13.3 | -14.6 | -15.6 | -19.9 | -19.8 | -19.6 | -19.6 | -19.5 | -19.4 | -19.4 |
120 | Texas-El Paso | Conference USA | -22.1 | 4 | 7 | -13.8 | -14.5 | -21.1 | -20.7 | -20.8 | -23.3 | -25.5 | -26.2 | -25.1 | -24.9 | -23.7 | -24.3 | -22.4 | -22.1 | -22.2 | -22.2 | -22.1 | -22.1 |
122 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | -22.4 | 4 | 7 | -16.5 | -16.1 | -14.1 | -15.9 | -23.4 | -22.5 | -22.6 | -23.3 | -24.7 | -24.9 | -23.5 | -22.9 | -22.8 | -22.3 | -22.4 | -22.3 | -22.4 | -22.4 |
53 | South Carolina | SEC | 4.3 | 3 | 8 | 12.1 | 11.4 | 8.1 | 6.7 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
64 | Virginia | ACC | 1.8 | 3 | 8 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 6.4 | -1.6 | -1.7 | 0.1 | -0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
74 | Vanderbilt | SEC | -0.1 | 3 | 8 | 0.3 | -2.2 | -1.6 | -0.5 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | -0.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
78 | Syracuse | ACC | -1.0 | 3 | 8 | -1.3 | -1.1 | 0.6 | -1.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | -3.3 | -2.4 | -1.5 | -1.7 | -2.6 | -1.3 | -1.1 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -1.0 | -1.0 |
84 | Colorado | Pac 12 | -3.2 | 3 | 9 | -1.3 | -4.8 | -1.3 | -0.7 | -1.1 | -3.7 | -5.6 | -5.4 | -4.8 | -4.0 | -4.9 | -3.6 | -4.4 | -3.5 | -3.4 | -3.4 | -3.2 | -3.2 |
89 | Rutgers | Big Ten | -6.9 | 3 | 8 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 1.0 | -4.2 | -4.1 | -4.4 | -3.9 | -1.3 | -4.5 | -6.1 | -7.0 | -7.2 | -6.7 | -7.2 | -7.1 | -7.0 | -6.9 | -6.9 |
97 | Troy | Sun Belt | -10.6 | 3 | 8 | -17.6 | -18.0 | -18.0 | -15.0 | -14.2 | -17.5 | -16.8 | -18.8 | -13.5 | -11.3 | -8.9 | -12.0 | -11.8 | -12.8 | -11.1 | -11.1 | -10.6 | -10.6 |
102 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | -14.1 | 3 | 9 | -9.3 | -9.7 | -9.7 | -13.1 | -14.1 | -15.2 | -15.6 | -16.1 | -18.8 | -16.6 | -15.7 | -16.1 | -13.9 | -14.0 | -14.0 | -14.0 | -14.1 | -14.1 |
106 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | -16.7 | 3 | 9 | -16.5 | -16.3 | -21.2 | -17.0 | -16.6 | -14.6 | -15.2 | -16.0 | -15.3 | -15.8 | -16.3 | -16.1 | -17.5 | -16.3 | -16.2 | -16.2 | -16.7 | -16.7 |
108 | Louisiana-Lafayette | Sun Belt | -17.5 | 3 | 8 | -7.4 | -5.1 | -4.1 | -4.3 | -11.7 | -13.3 | -11.2 | -12.4 | -12.4 | -13.4 | -14.0 | -14.6 | -16.1 | -16.2 | -17.7 | -17.7 | -17.5 | -17.5 |
112 | Texas-San Antonio | Conference USA | -19.2 | 3 | 9 | -13.8 | -9.3 | -10.7 | -16.5 | -16.5 | -15.0 | -12.8 | -15.4 | -14.8 | -16.3 | -17.2 | -17.3 | -17.2 | -19.1 | -19.1 | -19.1 | -19.2 | -19.2 |
114 | Idaho | Sun Belt | -20.1 | 3 | 8 | -19.6 | -22.8 | -21.6 | -22.9 | -24.2 | -23.4 | -23.6 | -22.5 | -20.5 | -21.5 | -21.4 | -21.9 | -20.8 | -20.4 | -20.6 | -20.6 | -20.1 | -20.1 |
126 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | -24.6 | 3 | 9 | -21.5 | -23.4 | -25.6 | -26.0 | -26.3 | -25.0 | -26.2 | -26.3 | -30.3 | -28.5 | -26.3 | -26.0 | -24.3 | -24.7 | -25.0 | -25.0 | -24.6 | -24.6 |
47 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6.8 | 2 | 9 | 9.2 | 9.3 | 16.3 | 15.9 | 11.7 | 10.7 | 9.8 | 9.0 | 11.1 | 9.6 | 9.8 | 9.2 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 6.8 | 6.8 |
79 | Iowa State | Big 12 | -1.3 | 2 | 9 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -5.3 | -4.8 | -3.3 | -0.4 | -4.2 | -4.0 | -2.4 | 0.3 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -1.3 | -1.3 |
81 | Maryland | Big Ten | -2.7 | 2 | 9 | 3.9 | 4.1 | -6.3 | -2.3 | -4.8 | -6.9 | -5.4 | -4.5 | -2.7 | -2.4 | -1.9 | -1.6 | -3.0 | -2.3 | -2.3 | -2.3 | -2.7 | -2.7 |
85 | Wake Forest | ACC | -3.3 | 2 | 9 | -3.5 | -3.3 | -5.1 | -5.9 | -5.3 | -3.1 | -3.1 | -4.8 | -5.9 | -5.2 | -4.8 | -4.2 | -3.3 | -3.1 | -3.1 | -2.9 | -3.3 | -3.3 |
103 | Nevada-Las Vegas | Mountain West | -15.7 | 2 | 9 | -16.7 | -15.3 | -16.2 | -13.5 | -12.1 | -10.8 | -11.0 | -13.1 | -12.9 | -14.0 | -12.4 | -13.3 | -15.4 | -16.4 | -16.5 | -16.4 | -15.7 | -15.7 |
105 | Southern Methodist | American Athletic | -16.7 | 2 | 9 | -15.5 | -17.1 | -13.8 | -11.6 | -11.2 | -13.5 | -11.8 | -11.4 | -12.5 | -12.9 | -14.0 | -15.5 | -13.3 | -16.0 | -16.2 | -16.4 | -16.7 | -16.7 |
107 | Ball State | Mid-American | -16.9 | 2 | 9 | -10.8 | -10.7 | -10.5 | -9.5 | -7.4 | -6.8 | -9.0 | -13.3 | -12.5 | -12.4 | -15.4 | -15.2 | -15.4 | -16.6 | -16.4 | -16.3 | -16.9 | -16.9 |
109 | Wyoming | Mountain West | -17.9 | 2 | 9 | -12.5 | -12.4 | -20.9 | -19.5 | -22.3 | -20.5 | -19.7 | -17.8 | -16.0 | -16.6 | -18.0 | -18.9 | -18.7 | -18.5 | -18.6 | -18.6 | -17.9 | -17.9 |
110 | Fresno State | Mountain West | -18.2 | 2 | 9 | -7.1 | -6.9 | -12.7 | -12.8 | -15.8 | -17.2 | -20.4 | -19.1 | -20.6 | -19.8 | -20.5 | -17.8 | -18.9 | -18.9 | -18.9 | -18.9 | -18.2 | -18.2 |
115 | Tulane | American Athletic | -20.1 | 2 | 9 | -10.1 | -14.6 | -19.9 | -20.6 | -21.0 | -16.7 | -19.4 | -21.0 | -19.0 | -18.5 | -18.1 | -17.5 | -19.6 | -19.8 | -19.9 | -19.9 | -20.1 | -20.1 |
117 | Kent State | Mid-American | -20.9 | 2 | 9 | -16.1 | -23.1 | -23.1 | -18.9 | -17.8 | -18.2 | -18.2 | -17.2 | -20.7 | -20.8 | -19.8 | -20.5 | -20.2 | -20.6 | -20.6 | -20.6 | -20.9 | -20.9 |
119 | Miami (Ohio) | Mid-American | -21.8 | 2 | 9 | -14.3 | -14.2 | -22.2 | -20.1 | -23.0 | -21.7 | -22.6 | -25.2 | -25.3 | -24.0 | -22.8 | -23.0 | -21.8 | -21.4 | -21.4 | -21.4 | -21.8 | -21.8 |
121 | Texas State | Sun Belt | -22.3 | 2 | 9 | -9.7 | -12.4 | -12.9 | -14.4 | -17.8 | -17.5 | -20.2 | -19.7 | -17.0 | -17.8 | -20.4 | -22.1 | -21.6 | -21.2 | -22.6 | -22.6 | -22.3 | -22.3 |
123 | Hawaii | Mountain West | -22.6 | 2 | 10 | -12.1 | -8.3 | -7.6 | -8.5 | -9.4 | -14.6 | -16.4 | -16.1 | -15.7 | -19.2 | -20.0 | -22.2 | -23.3 | -23.5 | -23.4 | -23.4 | -22.6 | -22.6 |
69 | Boston College | ACC | 0.6 | 1 | 9 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
93 | Purdue | Big Ten | -8.1 | 1 | 10 | -3.0 | -2.2 | -3.7 | -7.8 | -9.9 | -6.9 | -9.9 | -8.4 | -8.2 | -5.3 | -8.3 | -7.0 | -6.7 | -7.5 | -7.4 | -7.4 | -8.1 | -8.1 |
96 | Oregon State | Pac 12 | -9.4 | 1 | 10 | 2.8 | 2.9 | -2.3 | -3.0 | -1.3 | -0.3 | -4.7 | -6.5 | -7.1 | -6.4 | -8.2 | -8.9 | -11.0 | -10.0 | -9.9 | -9.9 | -9.4 | -9.4 |
101 | Army | Independent | -13.6 | 1 | 9 | -15.3 | -15.2 | -15.0 | -13.3 | -10.0 | -7.1 | -10.6 | -11.6 | -12.5 | -12.2 | -12.9 | -14.6 | -15.0 | -15.3 | -15.2 | -13.6 | -13.6 | -13.6 |
124 | North Texas | Conference USA | -23.7 | 1 | 10 | -14.5 | -14.4 | -18.8 | -19.4 | -22.8 | -26.0 | -25.9 | -24.7 | -23.7 | -22.8 | -24.3 | -22.5 | -23.2 | -23.8 | -23.8 | -23.8 | -23.7 | -23.7 |
125 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | -24.6 | 1 | 11 | -23.1 | -23.2 | -16.8 | -18.2 | -22.4 | -18.7 | -21.5 | -23.7 | -23.5 | -24.6 | -25.5 | -26.2 | -26.1 | -24.6 | -24.6 | -24.5 | -24.6 | -24.6 |
127 | Louisiana-Monroe | Sun Belt | -24.6 | 1 | 11 | -13.5 | -13.2 | -13.3 | -12.3 | -10.9 | -14.7 | -14.9 | -19.0 | -20.7 | -20.6 | -23.1 | -25.1 | -25.7 | -25.1 | -25.2 | -25.2 | -24.6 | -24.6 |
128 | North Carolina-Charlotte | Conference USA | -30.3 | 1 | 10 | -25.5 | -23.2 | -22.8 | -30.0 | -29.9 | -30.9 | -31.6 | -29.8 | -32.1 | -31.6 | -30.4 | -29.2 | -30.2 | -30.5 | -30.3 | -30.3 | -30.3 | -30.3 |
116 | Kansas | Big 12 | -20.7 | 0 | 11 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -10.5 | -10.9 | -11.9 | -13.9 | -17.4 | -14.2 | -16.5 | -18.2 | -20.0 | -17.0 | -18.7 | -19.5 | -19.6 | -19.6 | -20.7 | -20.7 |
118 | Central Florida | American Athletic | -21.2 | 0 | 11 | -0.3 | -4.0 | -5.5 | -4.2 | -4.3 | -8.4 | -12.5 | -12.0 | -14.8 | -16.8 | -16.7 | -17.4 | -19.9 | -21.0 | -20.9 | -21.0 | -21.2 | -21.2 |
College sports ratings use a somewhat less sophisticated version of the NFL model that does not use individual play data. Final scores and game location are the only data used. Unlike BCS computer ratings, point difference is factored rather than simply the outcome of the game. Instead of adjusting ratings for repeatability, both teams in each game are given equal responsibility for the result. Each team is assigned a normal probability distribution for quality such that the most likely scenario considering all games at once is optimized. In doing so, home field advantage is factored where applicable and strength of schedule is automatically accounted for. After 1 game, a team's rating will simply be their net points divided by 2. Past the first game, relative strength of opponents and how far a result is from the expected result begin to factor in. Like the NFL ratings, the first few weeks' ratings are unreliable but quickly become increasingly accurate thereafter. Subtracting one team's rating from another's will give an expected point spread should they play at a neutral site.