2015 College Football Predictive Ratings |
Rk |
College |
Conference |
Rat |
W |
L |
R0 |
R1 |
R2 |
R3 |
R4 |
R5 |
R6 |
R7 |
R8 |
R9 |
R10 |
R11 |
R12 |
R13 |
R14 |
R15 |
R16 |
R17 |
116 | Kansas | Big 12 | -20.7 | 0 | 11 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -10.5 | -10.9 | -11.9 | -13.9 | -17.4 | -14.2 | -16.5 | -18.2 | -20.0 | -17.0 | -18.7 | -19.5 | -19.6 | -19.6 | -20.7 | -20.7 |
118 | Central Florida | American Athletic | -21.2 | 0 | 11 | -0.3 | -4.0 | -5.5 | -4.2 | -4.3 | -8.4 | -12.5 | -12.0 | -14.8 | -16.8 | -16.7 | -17.4 | -19.9 | -21.0 | -20.9 | -21.0 | -21.2 | -21.2 |
125 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | -24.6 | 1 | 11 | -23.1 | -23.2 | -16.8 | -18.2 | -22.4 | -18.7 | -21.5 | -23.7 | -23.5 | -24.6 | -25.5 | -26.2 | -26.1 | -24.6 | -24.6 | -24.5 | -24.6 | -24.6 |
127 | Louisiana-Monroe | Sun Belt | -24.6 | 1 | 11 | -13.5 | -13.2 | -13.3 | -12.3 | -10.9 | -14.7 | -14.9 | -19.0 | -20.7 | -20.6 | -23.1 | -25.1 | -25.7 | -25.1 | -25.2 | -25.2 | -24.6 | -24.6 |
93 | Purdue | Big Ten | -8.1 | 1 | 10 | -3.0 | -2.2 | -3.7 | -7.8 | -9.9 | -6.9 | -9.9 | -8.4 | -8.2 | -5.3 | -8.3 | -7.0 | -6.7 | -7.5 | -7.4 | -7.4 | -8.1 | -8.1 |
96 | Oregon State | Pac 12 | -9.4 | 1 | 10 | 2.8 | 2.9 | -2.3 | -3.0 | -1.3 | -0.3 | -4.7 | -6.5 | -7.1 | -6.4 | -8.2 | -8.9 | -11.0 | -10.0 | -9.9 | -9.9 | -9.4 | -9.4 |
123 | Hawaii | Mountain West | -22.6 | 2 | 10 | -12.1 | -8.3 | -7.6 | -8.5 | -9.4 | -14.6 | -16.4 | -16.1 | -15.7 | -19.2 | -20.0 | -22.2 | -23.3 | -23.5 | -23.4 | -23.4 | -22.6 | -22.6 |
124 | North Texas | Conference USA | -23.7 | 1 | 10 | -14.5 | -14.4 | -18.8 | -19.4 | -22.8 | -26.0 | -25.9 | -24.7 | -23.7 | -22.8 | -24.3 | -22.5 | -23.2 | -23.8 | -23.8 | -23.8 | -23.7 | -23.7 |
128 | North Carolina-Charlotte | Conference USA | -30.3 | 1 | 10 | -25.5 | -23.2 | -22.8 | -30.0 | -29.9 | -30.9 | -31.6 | -29.8 | -32.1 | -31.6 | -30.4 | -29.2 | -30.2 | -30.5 | -30.3 | -30.3 | -30.3 | -30.3 |
47 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6.8 | 2 | 9 | 9.2 | 9.3 | 16.3 | 15.9 | 11.7 | 10.7 | 9.8 | 9.0 | 11.1 | 9.6 | 9.8 | 9.2 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 6.8 | 6.8 |
69 | Boston College | ACC | 0.6 | 1 | 9 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
79 | Iowa State | Big 12 | -1.3 | 2 | 9 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -5.3 | -4.8 | -3.3 | -0.4 | -4.2 | -4.0 | -2.4 | 0.3 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -1.3 | -1.3 |
81 | Maryland | Big Ten | -2.7 | 2 | 9 | 3.9 | 4.1 | -6.3 | -2.3 | -4.8 | -6.9 | -5.4 | -4.5 | -2.7 | -2.4 | -1.9 | -1.6 | -3.0 | -2.3 | -2.3 | -2.3 | -2.7 | -2.7 |
84 | Colorado | Pac 12 | -3.2 | 3 | 9 | -1.3 | -4.8 | -1.3 | -0.7 | -1.1 | -3.7 | -5.6 | -5.4 | -4.8 | -4.0 | -4.9 | -3.6 | -4.4 | -3.5 | -3.4 | -3.4 | -3.2 | -3.2 |
85 | Wake Forest | ACC | -3.3 | 2 | 9 | -3.5 | -3.3 | -5.1 | -5.9 | -5.3 | -3.1 | -3.1 | -4.8 | -5.9 | -5.2 | -4.8 | -4.2 | -3.3 | -3.1 | -3.1 | -2.9 | -3.3 | -3.3 |
101 | Army | Independent | -13.6 | 1 | 9 | -15.3 | -15.2 | -15.0 | -13.3 | -10.0 | -7.1 | -10.6 | -11.6 | -12.5 | -12.2 | -12.9 | -14.6 | -15.0 | -15.3 | -15.2 | -13.6 | -13.6 | -13.6 |
102 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | -14.1 | 3 | 9 | -9.3 | -9.7 | -9.7 | -13.1 | -14.1 | -15.2 | -15.6 | -16.1 | -18.8 | -16.6 | -15.7 | -16.1 | -13.9 | -14.0 | -14.0 | -14.0 | -14.1 | -14.1 |
103 | Nevada-Las Vegas | Mountain West | -15.7 | 2 | 9 | -16.7 | -15.3 | -16.2 | -13.5 | -12.1 | -10.8 | -11.0 | -13.1 | -12.9 | -14.0 | -12.4 | -13.3 | -15.4 | -16.4 | -16.5 | -16.4 | -15.7 | -15.7 |
106 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | -16.7 | 3 | 9 | -16.5 | -16.3 | -21.2 | -17.0 | -16.6 | -14.6 | -15.2 | -16.0 | -15.3 | -15.8 | -16.3 | -16.1 | -17.5 | -16.3 | -16.2 | -16.2 | -16.7 | -16.7 |
105 | Southern Methodist | American Athletic | -16.7 | 2 | 9 | -15.5 | -17.1 | -13.8 | -11.6 | -11.2 | -13.5 | -11.8 | -11.4 | -12.5 | -12.9 | -14.0 | -15.5 | -13.3 | -16.0 | -16.2 | -16.4 | -16.7 | -16.7 |
107 | Ball State | Mid-American | -16.9 | 2 | 9 | -10.8 | -10.7 | -10.5 | -9.5 | -7.4 | -6.8 | -9.0 | -13.3 | -12.5 | -12.4 | -15.4 | -15.2 | -15.4 | -16.6 | -16.4 | -16.3 | -16.9 | -16.9 |
109 | Wyoming | Mountain West | -17.9 | 2 | 9 | -12.5 | -12.4 | -20.9 | -19.5 | -22.3 | -20.5 | -19.7 | -17.8 | -16.0 | -16.6 | -18.0 | -18.9 | -18.7 | -18.5 | -18.6 | -18.6 | -17.9 | -17.9 |
110 | Fresno State | Mountain West | -18.2 | 2 | 9 | -7.1 | -6.9 | -12.7 | -12.8 | -15.8 | -17.2 | -20.4 | -19.1 | -20.6 | -19.8 | -20.5 | -17.8 | -18.9 | -18.9 | -18.9 | -18.9 | -18.2 | -18.2 |
112 | Texas-San Antonio | Conference USA | -19.2 | 3 | 9 | -13.8 | -9.3 | -10.7 | -16.5 | -16.5 | -15.0 | -12.8 | -15.4 | -14.8 | -16.3 | -17.2 | -17.3 | -17.2 | -19.1 | -19.1 | -19.1 | -19.2 | -19.2 |
115 | Tulane | American Athletic | -20.1 | 2 | 9 | -10.1 | -14.6 | -19.9 | -20.6 | -21.0 | -16.7 | -19.4 | -21.0 | -19.0 | -18.5 | -18.1 | -17.5 | -19.6 | -19.8 | -19.9 | -19.9 | -20.1 | -20.1 |
117 | Kent State | Mid-American | -20.9 | 2 | 9 | -16.1 | -23.1 | -23.1 | -18.9 | -17.8 | -18.2 | -18.2 | -17.2 | -20.7 | -20.8 | -19.8 | -20.5 | -20.2 | -20.6 | -20.6 | -20.6 | -20.9 | -20.9 |
119 | Miami (Ohio) | Mid-American | -21.8 | 2 | 9 | -14.3 | -14.2 | -22.2 | -20.1 | -23.0 | -21.7 | -22.6 | -25.2 | -25.3 | -24.0 | -22.8 | -23.0 | -21.8 | -21.4 | -21.4 | -21.4 | -21.8 | -21.8 |
121 | Texas State | Sun Belt | -22.3 | 2 | 9 | -9.7 | -12.4 | -12.9 | -14.4 | -17.8 | -17.5 | -20.2 | -19.7 | -17.0 | -17.8 | -20.4 | -22.1 | -21.6 | -21.2 | -22.6 | -22.6 | -22.3 | -22.3 |
126 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | -24.6 | 3 | 9 | -21.5 | -23.4 | -25.6 | -26.0 | -26.3 | -25.0 | -26.2 | -26.3 | -30.3 | -28.5 | -26.3 | -26.0 | -24.3 | -24.7 | -25.0 | -25.0 | -24.6 | -24.6 |
53 | South Carolina | SEC | 4.3 | 3 | 8 | 12.1 | 11.4 | 8.1 | 6.7 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
64 | Virginia | ACC | 1.8 | 3 | 8 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 6.4 | -1.6 | -1.7 | 0.1 | -0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
74 | Vanderbilt | SEC | -0.1 | 3 | 8 | 0.3 | -2.2 | -1.6 | -0.5 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | -0.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
78 | Syracuse | ACC | -1.0 | 3 | 8 | -1.3 | -1.1 | 0.6 | -1.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | -3.3 | -2.4 | -1.5 | -1.7 | -2.6 | -1.3 | -1.1 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -1.0 | -1.0 |
89 | Rutgers | Big Ten | -6.9 | 3 | 8 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 1.0 | -4.2 | -4.1 | -4.4 | -3.9 | -1.3 | -4.5 | -6.1 | -7.0 | -7.2 | -6.7 | -7.2 | -7.1 | -7.0 | -6.9 | -6.9 |
97 | Troy | Sun Belt | -10.6 | 3 | 8 | -17.6 | -18.0 | -18.0 | -15.0 | -14.2 | -17.5 | -16.8 | -18.8 | -13.5 | -11.3 | -8.9 | -12.0 | -11.8 | -12.8 | -11.1 | -11.1 | -10.6 | -10.6 |
108 | Louisiana-Lafayette | Sun Belt | -17.5 | 3 | 8 | -7.4 | -5.1 | -4.1 | -4.3 | -11.7 | -13.3 | -11.2 | -12.4 | -12.4 | -13.4 | -14.0 | -14.6 | -16.1 | -16.2 | -17.7 | -17.7 | -17.5 | -17.5 |
114 | Idaho | Sun Belt | -20.1 | 3 | 8 | -19.6 | -22.8 | -21.6 | -22.9 | -24.2 | -23.4 | -23.6 | -22.5 | -20.5 | -21.5 | -21.4 | -21.9 | -20.8 | -20.4 | -20.6 | -20.6 | -20.1 | -20.1 |
37 | Arizona State | Pac 12 | 9.0 | 5 | 7 | 13.6 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 9.1 | 9.7 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 7.0 | 6.2 | 7.6 | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 9.0 | 9.0 |
42 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7.9 | 6 | 7 | 13.0 | 8.4 | 11.4 | 13.1 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 7.7 | 9.6 | 7.8 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 7.1 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.9 | 7.9 |
55 | Texas | Big 12 | 4.2 | 5 | 7 | 10.9 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 3.7 | -1.1 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
57 | Missouri | SEC | 3.2 | 4 | 7 | 11.8 | 11.9 | 8.7 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
58 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 2.9 | 5 | 7 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 13.4 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 11.5 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
61 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2.0 | 5 | 7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | -1.2 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
68 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 0.6 | 6 | 7 | 4.9 | 6.0 | 5.3 | -0.7 | -1.4 | -2.8 | 0.4 | -2.4 | -3.2 | -1.7 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
71 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 0.2 | 4 | 7 | -3.4 | -3.3 | 0.8 | -4.4 | -1.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
72 | Kentucky | SEC | 0.1 | 4 | 7 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
76 | Utah State | Mountain West | -0.3 | 5 | 7 | -7.1 | -6.9 | -4.1 | -3.2 | -1.4 | -0.1 | 4.7 | 9.4 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.3 |
77 | Illinois | Big Ten | -0.4 | 4 | 7 | -0.4 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 1.4 | -2.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.4 |
87 | Connecticut | American Athletic | -4.8 | 5 | 7 | -12.9 | -12.8 | -13.0 | -8.4 | -8.5 | -6.6 | -3.6 | -4.7 | -7.0 | -4.6 | -5.0 | -4.9 | -3.7 | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.8 | -4.8 |
88 | Tulsa | American Athletic | -6.8 | 6 | 7 | -11.8 | -11.2 | -7.5 | -5.2 | -5.0 | -5.1 | -6.5 | -6.2 | -7.4 | -6.4 | -6.8 | -6.5 | -7.5 | -7.1 | -7.1 | -7.3 | -6.8 | -6.8 |
90 | San Jose State | Mountain West | -7.6 | 5 | 7 | -11.9 | -11.8 | -15.3 | -14.4 | -9.8 | -8.8 | -9.0 | -12.5 | -11.9 | -11.2 | -9.5 | -9.2 | -8.6 | -9.0 | -9.0 | -9.0 | -7.6 | -7.6 |
99 | Buffalo | Mid-American | -13.0 | 4 | 7 | -15.2 | -15.0 | -13.1 | -7.0 | -8.7 | -10.0 | -9.2 | -12.7 | -9.8 | -9.9 | -10.1 | -10.3 | -11.4 | -12.5 | -12.5 | -12.5 | -13.0 | -13.0 |
104 | Florida International | Conference USA | -15.7 | 4 | 7 | -11.5 | -7.6 | -8.3 | -8.2 | -7.0 | -9.4 | -7.6 | -8.2 | -7.5 | -9.7 | -9.9 | -12.9 | -15.9 | -15.8 | -15.8 | -15.8 | -15.7 | -15.7 |
111 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | -18.8 | 4 | 7 | -13.4 | -13.3 | -16.7 | -12.5 | -19.2 | -17.7 | -17.6 | -19.3 | -19.6 | -19.4 | -18.8 | -18.2 | -18.9 | -20.0 | -19.2 | -19.1 | -18.8 | -18.8 |
113 | Rice | Conference USA | -19.4 | 4 | 7 | -7.8 | -7.7 | -7.4 | -6.0 | -10.4 | -15.6 | -13.5 | -13.3 | -13.3 | -14.6 | -15.6 | -19.9 | -19.8 | -19.6 | -19.6 | -19.5 | -19.4 | -19.4 |
120 | Texas-El Paso | Conference USA | -22.1 | 4 | 7 | -13.8 | -14.5 | -21.1 | -20.7 | -20.8 | -23.3 | -25.5 | -26.2 | -25.1 | -24.9 | -23.7 | -24.3 | -22.4 | -22.1 | -22.2 | -22.2 | -22.1 | -22.1 |
122 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | -22.4 | 4 | 7 | -16.5 | -16.1 | -14.1 | -15.9 | -23.4 | -22.5 | -22.6 | -23.3 | -24.7 | -24.9 | -23.5 | -22.9 | -22.8 | -22.3 | -22.4 | -22.3 | -22.4 | -22.4 |
16 | USC | Pac 12 | 16.4 | 8 | 6 | 17.8 | 23.0 | 24.1 | 19.2 | 21.4 | 23.0 | 20.4 | 19.5 | 21.0 | 20.8 | 19.6 | 18.2 | 16.7 | 17.6 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 16.4 | 16.4 |
17 | Washington | Pac 12 | 15.7 | 6 | 6 | 11.6 | 10.2 | 9.8 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 10.0 | 14.7 | 12.6 | 10.7 | 14.4 | 13.0 | 11.5 | 13.5 | 15.2 | 15.3 | 15.3 | 15.7 | 15.7 |
30 | Auburn | SEC | 11.4 | 6 | 6 | 19.5 | 18.9 | 17.8 | 13.8 | 12.1 | 9.7 | 9.3 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 8.4 | 10.8 | 10.0 | 8.9 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 11.3 | 11.4 |
43 | North Carolina State | ACC | 7.8 | 6 | 6 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 7.4 | 11.3 | 9.1 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 9.1 | 8.9 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 7.8 | 7.8 |
44 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7.5 | 6 | 6 | 10.2 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 10.8 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 7.1 | 8.6 | 7.9 | 8.4 | 8.9 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
45 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6.8 | 6 | 6 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 9.8 | 12.6 | 11.6 | 9.8 | 13.0 | 11.2 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 8.2 | 8.9 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 6.8 | 6.8 |
54 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4.3 | 7 | 6 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
62 | Arizona | Pac 12 | 2.0 | 6 | 6 | 10.9 | 6.7 | 8.9 | 8.2 | 4.6 | 0.5 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
73 | Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0 | 7 | 6 | -9.0 | -8.9 | -5.4 | -3.5 | -2.7 | -4.9 | -5.8 | -7.2 | -5.8 | -1.2 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
75 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | -0.3 | 6 | 6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | -1.1 | -4.5 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.4 | -0.3 | -0.3 |
80 | Middle Tennessee State | Conference USA | -2.6 | 6 | 6 | -8.4 | -8.2 | -5.3 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | -1.8 | -1.9 | -4.7 | -5.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 | -3.8 | -2.3 | -2.2 | -2.2 | -2.6 | -2.6 |
82 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | -2.9 | 6 | 6 | -10.0 | -9.1 | -9.1 | -5.2 | -5.1 | -4.3 | -5.0 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -2.0 | -2.1 | -2.1 | -2.9 | -2.9 |
83 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | -3.1 | 7 | 6 | -7.2 | -8.2 | -8.5 | -1.5 | -1.0 | -2.5 | -1.9 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -3.1 | -3.1 |
91 | Colorado State | Mountain West | -7.7 | 6 | 6 | -4.4 | -4.3 | -3.3 | -4.9 | -6.2 | -7.5 | -7.5 | -6.6 | -7.5 | -8.9 | -7.9 | -7.5 | -7.2 | -7.9 | -7.9 | -7.9 | -7.7 | -7.7 |
95 | Nevada | Mountain West | -8.9 | 6 | 6 | -6.5 | -6.4 | -10.2 | -7.2 | -7.0 | -9.8 | -8.0 | -10.8 | -10.3 | -11.4 | -10.6 | -10.2 | -9.7 | -10.0 | -10.0 | -10.0 | -8.9 | -8.9 |
98 | New Mexico | Mountain West | -10.7 | 6 | 6 | -12.9 | -12.7 | -18.2 | -16.5 | -15.6 | -15.1 | -16.3 | -16.8 | -17.3 | -17.6 | -15.7 | -12.7 | -13.2 | -11.8 | -11.8 | -11.8 | -10.7 | -10.7 |
100 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | -13.6 | 6 | 6 | -23.0 | -25.0 | -23.7 | -23.3 | -25.1 | -24.8 | -27.7 | -22.1 | -22.7 | -22.2 | -21.8 | -18.7 | -17.6 | -17.0 | -13.4 | -13.4 | -13.6 | -13.6 |
18 | Arkansas | SEC | 15.7 | 7 | 5 | 14.3 | 15.2 | 8.7 | 6.4 | 7.2 | 9.2 | 9.9 | 9.6 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 10.7 | 13.0 | 13.1 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 15.7 | 15.7 |
21 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 13.5 | 7 | 5 | 9.9 | 15.0 | 17.2 | 17.1 | 21.2 | 17.7 | 15.3 | 15.5 | 15.8 | 13.4 | 12.8 | 13.3 | 15.2 | 15.6 | 14.6 | 14.6 | 13.5 | 13.5 |
25 | Texas A&M | SEC | 12.5 | 7 | 5 | 14.5 | 19.5 | 19.4 | 16.7 | 16.1 | 18.0 | 17.9 | 15.0 | 13.7 | 12.7 | 10.8 | 11.1 | 12.5 | 12.0 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
27 | UCLA | Pac 12 | 12.3 | 8 | 5 | 16.7 | 17.9 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 18.6 | 14.3 | 15.3 | 12.8 | 14.1 | 11.8 | 14.0 | 13.0 | 13.7 | 12.8 | 12.9 | 12.9 | 12.3 | 12.3 |
31 | California | Pac 12 | 11.3 | 7 | 5 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 9.8 | 8.5 | 10.4 | 8.7 | 11.5 | 12.2 | 11.1 | 11.2 | 10.1 | 10.6 | 10.7 | 10.2 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 11.3 | 11.3 |
36 | Louisville | ACC | 9.1 | 7 | 5 | 9.4 | 10.3 | 6.9 | 6.4 | 7.6 | 9.3 | 9.0 | 7.8 | 8.5 | 7.4 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 7.6 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 9.2 | 9.1 |
41 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7.9 | 7 | 5 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 7.2 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 9.2 | 9.0 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 10.0 | 10.3 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 7.9 |
49 | South Florida | American Athletic | 6.3 | 7 | 5 | -3.9 | -3.8 | -1.7 | -5.5 | -6.4 | -6.8 | -3.3 | -0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 6.1 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 6.3 |
52 | Miami (Fla.) | ACC | 4.8 | 7 | 5 | 12.0 | 12.1 | 13.9 | 12.8 | 11.5 | 7.4 | 8.3 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 4.8 |
56 | Duke | ACC | 3.7 | 7 | 5 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 7.1 | 4.7 | 7.5 | 7.4 | 9.9 | 8.9 | 10.2 | 8.7 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
60 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2.2 | 7 | 5 | -6.0 | -4.5 | -10.8 | -11.4 | -9.4 | -9.9 | -9.7 | -2.5 | -3.2 | -1.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
63 | Southern Mississippi | Conference USA | 1.8 | 8 | 5 | -12.1 | -10.4 | -10.6 | -8.9 | -6.6 | -5.1 | -7.5 | -5.7 | -4.1 | -4.7 | -4.9 | -0.7 | -0.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
92 | Ohio U. | Mid-American | -7.7 | 7 | 5 | -13.1 | -9.6 | -5.0 | -5.6 | -5.2 | -5.2 | -2.8 | -8.5 | -11.0 | -10.6 | -11.8 | -10.0 | -9.2 | -7.8 | -7.8 | -7.8 | -7.7 | -7.7 |
94 | Akron | Mid-American | -8.8 | 7 | 5 | -15.3 | -15.8 | -15.4 | -16.0 | -9.7 | -9.4 | -6.9 | -11.7 | -11.2 | -11.3 | -11.2 | -10.8 | -9.7 | -8.9 | -9.0 | -9.0 | -8.8 | -8.8 |
8 | Tennessee | SEC | 18.5 | 8 | 4 | 13.6 | 14.9 | 15.2 | 14.9 | 15.2 | 14.2 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 17.3 | 19.5 | 17.9 | 16.7 | 16.2 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 18.5 | 18.5 |
14 | Mississippi State | SEC | 16.5 | 8 | 4 | 15.6 | 14.3 | 13.7 | 15.2 | 17.0 | 14.8 | 13.3 | 14.1 | 16.4 | 16.2 | 17.4 | 15.2 | 15.2 | 14.2 | 14.3 | 14.3 | 16.5 | 16.5 |
20 | Oregon | Pac 12 | 13.6 | 8 | 4 | 21.2 | 21.3 | 19.3 | 15.6 | 6.5 | 7.8 | 5.0 | 8.7 | 8.3 | 9.8 | 10.9 | 12.4 | 14.5 | 13.3 | 13.6 | 13.6 | 13.6 | 13.6 |
28 | Florida | SEC | 11.7 | 10 | 4 | 14.7 | 16.8 | 13.3 | 12.3 | 12.7 | 17.5 | 18.5 | 17.9 | 17.4 | 19.3 | 17.4 | 17.2 | 15.0 | 13.2 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 11.7 | 11.7 |
33 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10.4 | 8 | 4 | 4.9 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 12.5 | 16.5 | 18.8 | 14.6 | 12.1 | 12.7 | 12.3 | 8.5 | 7.1 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 10.4 | 10.4 |
38 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8.6 | 8 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 8.0 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 9.5 | 11.4 | 11.2 | 8.1 | 9.5 | 7.4 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 10.4 | 8.6 | 8.6 |
40 | Brigham Young | Independent | 8.0 | 8 | 4 | 1.6 | 6.6 | 8.7 | 11.3 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 6.7 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
48 | Bowling Green State | Mid-American | 6.6 | 10 | 4 | -10.5 | -11.6 | -4.3 | -2.7 | -2.8 | -2.5 | -1.5 | 2.7 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 7.6 | 8.8 | 6.8 | 8.5 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 6.6 |
51 | Temple | American Athletic | 4.9 | 10 | 4 | -3.3 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 4.9 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 5.9 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 5.7 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 |
66 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 1.2 | 8 | 4 | -9.9 | -14.7 | -7.9 | -8.0 | -4.6 | -3.0 | -3.4 | -2.3 | -3.5 | -3.0 | -3.4 | -0.8 | 0.6 | 1.9 | -1.7 | -1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
70 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 0.3 | 8 | 4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 2.0 | -0.9 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
86 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | -4.2 | 8 | 4 | -6.5 | -11.5 | -8.9 | -11.2 | -13.3 | -12.2 | -12.9 | -10.4 | -9.6 | -10.1 | -7.6 | -5.2 | -5.2 | -4.6 | -3.3 | -3.3 | -4.2 | -4.2 |
5 | Baylor | Big 12 | 21.1 | 9 | 3 | 16.0 | 17.8 | 18.9 | 19.5 | 24.3 | 25.5 | 29.8 | 30.9 | 27.9 | 27.5 | 25.6 | 24.3 | 25.0 | 23.8 | 21.6 | 21.5 | 21.1 | 21.1 |
6 | Mississippi | SEC | 20.4 | 9 | 3 | 17.3 | 17.4 | 23.2 | 25.7 | 22.0 | 17.4 | 17.1 | 14.9 | 16.1 | 16.6 | 15.5 | 16.2 | 17.0 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 20.4 | 20.4 |
9 | North Carolina | ACC | 17.9 | 9 | 3 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 10.7 | 10.8 | 12.4 | 11.9 | 14.7 | 13.8 | 14.0 | 17.2 | 19.1 | 18.7 | 19.2 | 18.9 | 18.9 | 17.9 | 17.9 |
10 | LSU | SEC | 17.0 | 9 | 3 | 16.8 | 16.9 | 17.7 | 22.0 | 20.5 | 16.4 | 15.7 | 16.4 | 18.3 | 18.1 | 17.7 | 15.3 | 13.9 | 14.7 | 14.7 | 14.7 | 17.0 | 17.0 |
11 | Notre Dame | Independent | 16.9 | 10 | 3 | 13.6 | 20.6 | 19.7 | 19.8 | 17.0 | 16.8 | 17.9 | 18.5 | 19.7 | 18.9 | 19.6 | 18.9 | 17.7 | 17.8 | 18.0 | 17.9 | 16.9 | 16.9 |
12 | Florida State | ACC | 16.8 | 9 | 3 | 17.8 | 20.8 | 19.2 | 18.4 | 17.3 | 16.0 | 15.0 | 16.6 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 16.0 | 16.4 | 18.6 | 18.5 | 18.5 | 16.8 | 16.8 |
15 | Michigan | Big Ten | 16.4 | 10 | 3 | 8.0 | 7.5 | 10.8 | 9.4 | 15.4 | 17.1 | 19.8 | 17.3 | 17.4 | 16.1 | 16.6 | 15.8 | 16.3 | 14.4 | 14.4 | 14.5 | 16.4 | 16.4 |
22 | Georgia | SEC | 12.9 | 9 | 3 | 20.9 | 20.8 | 20.3 | 23.6 | 24.7 | 18.5 | 17.0 | 15.2 | 14.8 | 12.7 | 13.2 | 13.7 | 12.2 | 12.5 | 12.2 | 12.2 | 12.9 | 12.9 |
24 | Utah | Pac 12 | 12.8 | 10 | 3 | 8.8 | 9.6 | 8.7 | 9.1 | 16.9 | 17.3 | 17.1 | 18.5 | 16.2 | 15.2 | 15.8 | 14.5 | 13.5 | 12.3 | 12.3 | 12.3 | 12.8 | 12.8 |
26 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 12.3 | 9 | 3 | 7.7 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 14.7 | 13.8 | 12.8 | 15.5 | 14.8 | 16.7 | 17.2 | 18.9 | 17.8 | 17.4 | 14.9 | 14.8 | 14.8 | 12.3 | 12.3 |
29 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11.6 | 10 | 3 | 10.7 | 9.7 | 15.0 | 13.7 | 13.3 | 11.3 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 11.4 | 12.7 | 12.6 | 12.3 | 10.9 | 11.0 | 11.2 | 11.2 | 11.6 | 11.6 |
39 | Washington State | Pac 12 | 8.1 | 9 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3.4 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 7.4 | 8.7 | 9.4 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 8.1 | 8.1 |
50 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4.9 | 10 | 3 | -4.3 | -4.2 | -7.5 | -11.5 | -12.0 | -11.3 | -9.3 | -6.5 | -2.4 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 4.9 |
59 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2.5 | 9 | 3 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 10.1 | 7.7 | 10.3 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
67 | Marshall | Conference USA | 1.2 | 9 | 3 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 0.9 | -0.2 | -1.9 | -2.1 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -2.3 | -1.9 | -2.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
2 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 26.0 | 11 | 2 | 16.5 | 17.3 | 19.4 | 16.5 | 17.8 | 20.4 | 16.9 | 22.2 | 24.5 | 25.8 | 26.2 | 27.3 | 26.4 | 28.3 | 28.2 | 28.2 | 26.0 | 26.0 |
7 | Stanford | Pac 12 | 20.3 | 12 | 2 | 13.7 | 9.3 | 10.7 | 16.0 | 16.6 | 19.3 | 18.0 | 18.5 | 19.2 | 18.1 | 19.2 | 18.0 | 18.1 | 17.9 | 19.1 | 19.1 | 20.3 | 20.3 |
13 | Texas Christian | Big 12 | 16.7 | 10 | 2 | 18.4 | 17.6 | 17.4 | 12.7 | 13.7 | 16.8 | 19.3 | 18.5 | 18.3 | 20.7 | 19.0 | 15.8 | 17.1 | 17.6 | 17.5 | 17.4 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
19 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 14.1 | 12 | 2 | 16.2 | 15.0 | 14.4 | 12.1 | 11.0 | 8.3 | 7.2 | 11.2 | 11.9 | 12.7 | 12.5 | 12.6 | 14.1 | 15.7 | 15.7 | 15.8 | 14.1 | 14.1 |
32 | Iowa | Big Ten | 11.0 | 11 | 2 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 9.5 | 11.2 | 10.1 | 13.6 | 14.0 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 12.6 | 12.4 | 12.8 | 12.8 | 12.8 | 11.0 | 11.0 |
34 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 9.8 | 12 | 2 | -5.2 | -2.4 | -1.7 | -0.6 | 3.0 | 6.9 | 8.9 | 7.6 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 7.9 | 8.7 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 9.8 | 9.8 |
35 | Navy | American Athletic | 9.3 | 10 | 2 | -6.9 | -6.7 | -6.7 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 8.6 | 10.4 | 11.6 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 8.5 | 9.3 | 9.3 |
46 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6.8 | 10 | 2 | -4.5 | -4.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 6.8 |
65 | Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 1.6 | 10 | 2 | -13.3 | -13.2 | -12.7 | -13.0 | -2.2 | -2.8 | -0.4 | 4.7 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
1 | Alabama | SEC | 28.0 | 13 | 1 | 23.7 | 25.0 | 24.7 | 24.2 | 22.8 | 25.0 | 23.7 | 24.1 | 23.2 | 23.2 | 23.2 | 24.7 | 24.5 | 25.1 | 25.3 | 25.3 | 27.9 | 28.0 |
3 | Clemson | ACC | 23.6 | 13 | 1 | 16.2 | 16.3 | 15.8 | 15.1 | 17.9 | 17.6 | 19.4 | 19.3 | 25.7 | 25.3 | 24.9 | 23.4 | 22.6 | 22.2 | 22.5 | 22.5 | 23.6 | 23.6 |
4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 22.4 | 12 | 1 | 23.1 | 25.3 | 25.7 | 21.4 | 19.4 | 17.7 | 16.8 | 18.9 | 21.1 | 21.2 | 20.3 | 21.0 | 20.0 | 21.9 | 21.9 | 21.9 | 22.4 | 22.4 |
23 | Houston | American Athletic | 12.9 | 12 | 1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 8.6 | 9.7 | 8.4 | 9.6 | 13.5 | 14.9 | 13.9 | 12.9 | 10.7 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 11.9 | 12.9 | 12.9 |
College sports ratings use a somewhat less sophisticated version of the NFL model that does not use individual play data. Final scores and game location are the only data used. Unlike BCS computer ratings, point difference is factored rather than simply the outcome of the game. Instead of adjusting ratings for repeatability, both teams in each game are given equal responsibility for the result. Each team is assigned a normal probability distribution for quality such that the most likely scenario considering all games at once is optimized. In doing so, home field advantage is factored where applicable and strength of schedule is automatically accounted for. After 1 game, a team's rating will simply be their net points divided by 2. Past the first game, relative strength of opponents and how far a result is from the expected result begin to factor in. Like the NFL ratings, the first few weeks' ratings are unreliable but quickly become increasingly accurate thereafter. Subtracting one team's rating from another's will give an expected point spread should they play at a neutral site.