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-->Full explanation of our college football ratings
2015 College Football Ratings Summary
College Conference W L P-Rank P-Rating R-Rank R-Rating CFP Rank AP Rank
Michigan StateBig Ten802711.9320.36
Ohio StateBig Ten80521.1618.51
LSUSEC701018.3220.84
TempleAmerican Athletic70515.0817.221
AlabamaSEC71423.21114.97
ToledoMid-American70466.31513.720
IowaBig Ten602214.0121.410
MemphisAmerican Athletic602811.4419.416
ClemsonACC60225.7519.13
Texas ChristianBig 1260918.3718.35
Oklahoma StateBig 12601416.7917.212
FloridaSEC611117.41015.811
BaylorBig 1260127.91214.92
UtahPac 12611616.21314.313
Notre DameIndependent61719.71414.29
HoustonAmerican Athletic602513.51613.718
StanfordPac 1261819.21713.68
OklahomaBig 1261324.52311.414
Penn StateBig Ten62573.5269.7
Florida StateACC611915.6327.917
WisconsinBig Ten622911.4347.7
Western KentuckyConference USA62486.2357.6
Bowling Green StateMid-American62456.4365.6
MarshallConference USA6174-2.3395.2
PittsburghACC51369.01813.223
MississippiSEC521716.11913.019
Washington StatePac 1251476.22012.9
NorthwesternBig Ten52534.02112.3
MichiganBig Ten521217.42410.615
Appalachian StateSun Belt51496.1259.9
Mississippi StateSEC521516.4279.725
Texas A&MSEC522413.7289.2
UCLAPac 12522114.1299.024
Brigham YoungIndependent52437.6308.9
DukeACC513310.2337.822
Boise StateMountain West522612.1424.5
CaliforniaPac 12423111.12211.7
NavyAmerican Athletic41543.8318.5
USCPac 1243621.0375.3
North CarolinaACC412313.8385.2
Texas TechBig 1243378.8414.7
GeorgiaSEC422014.8444.0
Georgia SouthernSun Belt4280-3.5453.6
ArizonaPac 1243563.7512.0
MinnesotaBig Ten4378-3.2551.1
San Diego StateMountain West4375-2.4630.1
North Carolina StateACC42418.2640.0
Louisiana TechConference USA43603.265-0.1
Ohio U.Mid-American4396-11.066-0.2
Southern MississippiConference USA4381-4.176-1.7
Northern IllinoisMid-American43680.581-4.5
TexasBig 1234505.5405.2
OregonPac 1233408.3434.2
Western MichiganMid-American3379-3.2463.5
AuburnSEC33359.1473.3
Arizona StatePac 1233398.3483.1
CincinnatiAmerican Athletic33671.1502.5
East CarolinaAmerican Athletic34641.7521.8
IndianaBig Ten3472-1.2531.3
KentuckySEC33593.4541.1
ArkansasSEC34349.8561.1
Miami (Fla.)ACC33583.4580.8
Utah StateMountain West33623.1590.7
IllinoisBig Ten33661.4610.5
South FloridaAmerican Athletic33690.467-0.7
MissouriSEC34524.570-1.2
South CarolinaSEC34633.072-1.6
Arkansas StateSun Belt3393-9.673-1.7
RiceConference USA33104-13.374-1.7
Central MichiganMid-American3471-0.375-1.7
NebraskaBig Ten35427.877-2.1
TulsaAmerican Athletic3489-7.478-2.1
Air ForceMountain West3385-5.879-2.9
ColoradoPac 123484-4.886-5.9
San Jose StateMountain West3498-11.989-6.9
Florida InternationalConference USA3491-7.595-8.2
NevadaMountain West3495-10.398-8.8
New MexicoMountain West34113-17.3105-9.5
West VirginiaBig 12231815.8492.5
TennesseeSEC241317.3570.9
RutgersBig Ten2482-4.5600.6
WashingtonPac 12243210.7620.4
Kansas StateBig 1224553.868-0.8
LouisvilleACC24388.569-1.1
Georgia TechACC253011.171-1.3
VanderbiltSEC24651.680-3.7
SyracuseACC2473-1.582-4.5
Virginia TechACC25447.183-4.5
AkronMid-American2497-11.284-5.0
BuffaloMid-American2494-9.890-7.2
South AlabamaSun Belt24116-19.691-7.3
Kent StateMid-American25120-20.792-7.3
Colorado StateMountain West2490-7.593-7.5
Wake ForestACC2586-5.994-8.0
Middle Tennessee StateConference USA2583-4.796-8.3
IdahoSun Belt24117-20.597-8.4
ConnecticutAmerican Athletic2587-7.099-9.0
Old DominionConference USA24124-24.7101-9.2
Georgia StateSun Belt23121-22.7103-9.3
Texas-El PasoConference USA24125-25.1113-12.6
Iowa StateBig 121576-2.485-5.1
MarylandBig Ten1577-2.787-6.0
VirginiaACC15700.188-6.2
Oregon StatePac 121588-7.1100-9.1
Southern MethodistAmerican Athletic15102-12.5102-9.3
TulaneAmerican Athletic15115-19.0104-9.3
Boston CollegeACC15613.2106-10.0
Texas StateSun Belt14112-17.0107-10.0
Louisiana-LafayetteSun Belt1499-12.4108-11.2
MassachusettsMid-American16108-15.3109-11.3
HawaiiMountain West16109-15.7110-11.8
Nevada-Las VegasMountain West15103-12.9111-12.0
Fresno StateMountain West16118-20.6112-12.2
Texas-San AntonioConference USA16106-14.8115-13.3
ArmyIndependent15100-12.5116-13.6
Ball StateMid-American16101-12.5117-13.9
North Carolina-CharlotteConference USA15128-32.1118-14.8
TroySun Belt15105-13.5119-14.9
Florida AtlanticConference USA16114-18.8122-15.7
WyomingMountain West16110-16.0124-16.4
Eastern MichiganMid-American17122-23.5126-19.4
KansasBig 1206111-16.5114-13.2
Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt06119-20.7120-15.1
PurdueBig Ten0692-8.2121-15.7
North TexasConference USA06123-23.7123-16.2
Miami (Ohio)Mid-American07126-25.3125-17.3
Central FloridaAmerican Athletic07107-14.8127-20.0
New Mexico StateSun Belt07127-30.3128-23.8

College sports ratings use a somewhat less sophisticated version of the NFL model that does not use individual play data. Final scores and game location are the only data used. Unlike BCS computer ratings, point difference is factored rather than simply the outcome of the game. Instead of adjusting ratings for repeatability, both teams in each game are given equal responsibility for the result. Each team is assigned a normal probability distribution for quality such that the most likely scenario considering all games at once is optimized. In doing so, home field advantage is factored where applicable and strength of schedule is automatically accounted for. After 1 game, a team's rating will simply be their net points divided by 2. Past the first game, relative strength of opponents and how far a result is from the expected result begin to factor in. Like the NFL ratings, the first few weeks' ratings are unreliable but quickly become increasingly accurate thereafter. Subtracting one team's rating from another's will give an expected point spread should they play at a neutral site.