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-->Full explanation of our college football ratings
2015 College Football Ratings Summary
College Conference W L P-Rank P-Rating R-Rank R-Rating CFP Rank AP Rank
Ohio StateBig Ten80521.1618.51
BaylorBig 1260127.91214.92
ClemsonACC60225.7519.13
LSUSEC701018.3220.84
Texas ChristianBig 1260918.3718.35
Michigan StateBig Ten802711.9320.36
AlabamaSEC71423.21114.97
StanfordPac 1261819.21713.68
Notre DameIndependent61719.71414.29
IowaBig Ten602214.0121.410
FloridaSEC611117.41015.811
Oklahoma StateBig 12601416.7917.212
UtahPac 12611616.21314.313
OklahomaBig 1261324.52311.414
MichiganBig Ten521217.42410.615
MemphisAmerican Athletic602811.4419.416
Florida StateACC611915.6327.917
HoustonAmerican Athletic602513.51613.718
MississippiSEC521716.11913.019
ToledoMid-American70466.31513.720
TempleAmerican Athletic70515.0817.221
DukeACC513310.2337.822
PittsburghACC51369.01813.223
UCLAPac 12522114.1299.024
Mississippi StateSEC521516.4279.725
Washington StatePac 1251476.22012.9
NorthwesternBig Ten52534.02112.3
CaliforniaPac 12423111.12211.7
Appalachian StateSun Belt51496.1259.9
Penn StateBig Ten62573.5269.7
Texas A&MSEC522413.7289.2
Brigham YoungIndependent52437.6308.9
NavyAmerican Athletic41543.8318.5
WisconsinBig Ten622911.4347.7
Western KentuckyConference USA62486.2357.6
Bowling Green StateMid-American62456.4365.6
USCPac 1243621.0375.3
North CarolinaACC412313.8385.2
MarshallConference USA6174-2.3395.2
TexasBig 1234505.5405.2
Texas TechBig 1243378.8414.7
Boise StateMountain West522612.1424.5
OregonPac 1233408.3434.2
GeorgiaSEC422014.8444.0
Georgia SouthernSun Belt4280-3.5453.6
Western MichiganMid-American3379-3.2463.5
AuburnSEC33359.1473.3
Arizona StatePac 1233398.3483.1
West VirginiaBig 12231815.8492.5
CincinnatiAmerican Athletic33671.1502.5
ArizonaPac 1243563.7512.0
East CarolinaAmerican Athletic34641.7521.8
IndianaBig Ten3472-1.2531.3
KentuckySEC33593.4541.1
MinnesotaBig Ten4378-3.2551.1
ArkansasSEC34349.8561.1
TennesseeSEC241317.3570.9
Miami (Fla.)ACC33583.4580.8
Utah StateMountain West33623.1590.7
RutgersBig Ten2482-4.5600.6
IllinoisBig Ten33661.4610.5
WashingtonPac 12243210.7620.4
San Diego StateMountain West4375-2.4630.1
North Carolina StateACC42418.2640.0
Louisiana TechConference USA43603.265-0.1
Ohio U.Mid-American4396-11.066-0.2
South FloridaAmerican Athletic33690.467-0.7
Kansas StateBig 1224553.868-0.8
LouisvilleACC24388.569-1.1
MissouriSEC34524.570-1.2
Georgia TechACC253011.171-1.3
South CarolinaSEC34633.072-1.6
Arkansas StateSun Belt3393-9.673-1.7
RiceConference USA33104-13.374-1.7
Central MichiganMid-American3471-0.375-1.7
Southern MississippiConference USA4381-4.176-1.7
NebraskaBig Ten35427.877-2.1
TulsaAmerican Athletic3489-7.478-2.1
Air ForceMountain West3385-5.879-2.9
VanderbiltSEC24651.680-3.7
Northern IllinoisMid-American43680.581-4.5
SyracuseACC2473-1.582-4.5
Virginia TechACC25447.183-4.5
AkronMid-American2497-11.284-5.0
Iowa StateBig 121576-2.485-5.1
ColoradoPac 123484-4.886-5.9
MarylandBig Ten1577-2.787-6.0
VirginiaACC15700.188-6.2
San Jose StateMountain West3498-11.989-6.9
BuffaloMid-American2494-9.890-7.2
South AlabamaSun Belt24116-19.691-7.3
Kent StateMid-American25120-20.792-7.3
Colorado StateMountain West2490-7.593-7.5
Wake ForestACC2586-5.994-8.0
Florida InternationalConference USA3491-7.595-8.2
Middle Tennessee StateConference USA2583-4.796-8.3
IdahoSun Belt24117-20.597-8.4
NevadaMountain West3495-10.398-8.8
ConnecticutAmerican Athletic2587-7.099-9.0
Oregon StatePac 121588-7.1100-9.1
Old DominionConference USA24124-24.7101-9.2
Southern MethodistAmerican Athletic15102-12.5102-9.3
Georgia StateSun Belt23121-22.7103-9.3
TulaneAmerican Athletic15115-19.0104-9.3
New MexicoMountain West34113-17.3105-9.5
Boston CollegeACC15613.2106-10.0
Texas StateSun Belt14112-17.0107-10.0
Louisiana-LafayetteSun Belt1499-12.4108-11.2
MassachusettsMid-American16108-15.3109-11.3
HawaiiMountain West16109-15.7110-11.8
Nevada-Las VegasMountain West15103-12.9111-12.0
Fresno StateMountain West16118-20.6112-12.2
Texas-El PasoConference USA24125-25.1113-12.6
KansasBig 1206111-16.5114-13.2
Texas-San AntonioConference USA16106-14.8115-13.3
ArmyIndependent15100-12.5116-13.6
Ball StateMid-American16101-12.5117-13.9
North Carolina-CharlotteConference USA15128-32.1118-14.8
TroySun Belt15105-13.5119-14.9
Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt06119-20.7120-15.1
PurdueBig Ten0692-8.2121-15.7
Florida AtlanticConference USA16114-18.8122-15.7
North TexasConference USA06123-23.7123-16.2
WyomingMountain West16110-16.0124-16.4
Miami (Ohio)Mid-American07126-25.3125-17.3
Eastern MichiganMid-American17122-23.5126-19.4
Central FloridaAmerican Athletic07107-14.8127-20.0
New Mexico StateSun Belt07127-30.3128-23.8

College sports ratings use a somewhat less sophisticated version of the NFL model that does not use individual play data. Final scores and game location are the only data used. Unlike BCS computer ratings, point difference is factored rather than simply the outcome of the game. Instead of adjusting ratings for repeatability, both teams in each game are given equal responsibility for the result. Each team is assigned a normal probability distribution for quality such that the most likely scenario considering all games at once is optimized. In doing so, home field advantage is factored where applicable and strength of schedule is automatically accounted for. After 1 game, a team's rating will simply be their net points divided by 2. Past the first game, relative strength of opponents and how far a result is from the expected result begin to factor in. Like the NFL ratings, the first few weeks' ratings are unreliable but quickly become increasingly accurate thereafter. Subtracting one team's rating from another's will give an expected point spread should they play at a neutral site.