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-->Full explanation of our college football ratings
2015 College Football Ratings Summary
College Conference W L P-Rank P-Rating R-Rank R-Rating CFP Rank AP Rank
BaylorBig 1260127.51614.662
OklahomaBig 1271225.82111.41514
ClemsonACC70325.3121.413
AlabamaSEC71423.21215.647
Ohio StateBig Ten80521.2818.431
USCPac 1253620.8289.1
Texas ChristianBig 1270720.7718.785
TennesseeSEC34819.5463.5
FloridaSEC71919.31017.01011
Notre DameIndependent711018.9918.458
LSUSEC701118.1420.924
StanfordPac 12711218.11116.7119
Oklahoma StateBig 12701317.2618.91412
MississippiSEC621416.61415.11819
Mississippi StateSEC521516.2269.62024
MichiganBig Ten621616.11912.21716
Florida StateACC711715.6358.21617
UtahPac 12711815.21315.21213
HoustonAmerican Athletic701914.91514.62518
WashingtonPac 12342014.4483.1
North CarolinaACC512114.0308.821
IowaBig Ten702213.6221.3910
West VirginiaBig 12242313.4512.2
Texas A&MSEC622412.72310.21925
Michigan StateBig Ten802512.7321.076
Boise StateMountain West622612.7406.0
GeorgiaSEC432712.7473.4
WisconsinBig Ten722812.7338.5
UCLAPac 12622911.8318.72322
MemphisAmerican Athletic703011.2520.11315
CaliforniaPac 12433111.2348.3
ArkansasSEC34329.8551.4
OregonPac 1243339.8376.7
Georgia TechACC26349.680-3.7
DukeACC52358.7453.6
Virginia TechACC35368.679-3.2
PittsburghACC52378.4328.6
AuburnSEC34388.4521.8
North Carolina StateACC43398.465-0.5
Texas TechBig 1244408.1434.1
Brigham YoungIndependent52417.5298.9
LouisvilleACC34427.4600.4
Arizona StatePac 1234437.0571.3
Bowling Green StateMid-American62446.8386.3
Washington StatePac 1252456.5279.6
ToledoMid-American70466.41714.22420
Penn StateBig Ten72476.42510.0
NebraskaBig Ten36486.183-4.3
TempleAmerican Athletic71495.91813.02223
Western KentuckyConference USA72505.8368.1
Miami (Fla.)ACC43515.2414.7
NavyAmerican Athletic51525.12210.5
Utah StateMountain West43534.5531.8
CincinnatiAmerican Athletic43544.3492.9
MissouriSEC34554.171-1.1
Appalachian StateSun Belt61564.12410.1
Kansas StateBig 1224573.969-1.1
Louisiana TechConference USA53583.7541.8
NorthwesternBig Ten52593.52012.121
TexasBig 1235603.2502.4
South CarolinaSEC35612.777-2.1
Boston CollegeACC16621.4111-12.8
KentuckySEC34631.376-1.5
VirginiaACC25641.078-3.1
Iowa StateBig 1225650.368-1.0
Northern IllinoisMid-American43660.384-4.8
East CarolinaAmerican Athletic35670.274-1.3
ArizonaPac 1244680.262-0.4
South FloridaAmerican Athletic34690.272-1.2
Central MichiganMid-American44700.0580.8
San Diego StateMountain West53710.0561.3
VanderbiltSEC2572-0.781-4.0
IndianaBig Ten3473-1.1590.6
Air ForceMountain West4374-1.273-1.3
Western MichiganMid-American4375-1.5424.2
MinnesotaBig Ten4476-1.761-0.4
SyracuseACC2577-1.785-5.0
MarshallConference USA7178-1.9396.2
IllinoisBig Ten3479-2.064-0.4
MarylandBig Ten1680-2.487-5.9
Georgia SouthernSun Belt5281-3.0443.7
ColoradoPac 123582-4.090-7.3
ConnecticutAmerican Athletic3583-4.688-6.0
Southern MississippiConference USA5384-4.775-1.4
Wake ForestACC2685-5.2100-10.0
PurdueBig Ten1686-5.3104-10.5
Middle Tennessee StateConference USA2587-5.594-8.7
RutgersBig Ten2588-6.170-1.1
Oregon StatePac 121689-6.499-9.7
TulsaAmerican Athletic4490-6.466-0.6
Colorado StateMountain West2591-8.996-9.3
Florida InternationalConference USA3592-9.7106-11.2
BuffaloMid-American3493-9.986-5.4
Arkansas StateSun Belt4394-10.163-0.4
Ohio U.Mid-American4395-10.667-0.7
San Jose StateMountain West3496-11.289-6.8
TroySun Belt1697-11.3120-15.0
AkronMid-American2598-11.392-7.7
NevadaMountain West3499-11.495-9.1
ArmyIndependent15100-12.2118-14.4
Ball StateMid-American26101-12.4107-11.6
Southern MethodistAmerican Athletic16102-12.9109-11.9
Louisiana-LafayetteSun Belt24103-13.4101-10.3
Nevada-Las VegasMountain West16104-14.0112-12.8
RiceConference USA34105-14.682-4.1
MassachusettsMid-American17106-15.8119-14.5
Texas-San AntonioConference USA17107-16.3122-15.7
Florida AtlanticConference USA26108-16.6113-13.1
WyomingMountain West17109-16.6123-16.9
Central FloridaAmerican Athletic08110-16.8128-20.5
New MexicoMountain West34111-17.698-9.4
Texas StateSun Belt15112-17.8103-10.5
KansasBig 1207113-18.2115-13.5
TulaneAmerican Athletic16114-18.5102-10.5
HawaiiMountain West17115-19.2116-13.5
South AlabamaSun Belt24116-19.491-7.3
Fresno StateMountain West16117-19.8108-11.8
Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt07118-20.6124-17.9
Kent StateMid-American25119-20.893-8.1
IdahoSun Belt25120-21.5110-12.2
Georgia StateSun Belt24121-22.297-9.3
North TexasConference USA16122-22.8117-14.1
Miami (Ohio)Mid-American08123-24.0125-19.4
Eastern MichiganMid-American18124-24.6127-20.1
Texas-El PasoConference USA25125-24.9114-13.2
Old DominionConference USA25126-24.9105-10.7
New Mexico StateSun Belt17127-28.5126-19.4
North Carolina-CharlotteConference USA16128-31.6121-15.2

College sports ratings use a somewhat less sophisticated version of the NFL model that does not use individual play data. Final scores and game location are the only data used. Unlike BCS computer ratings, point difference is factored rather than simply the outcome of the game. Instead of adjusting ratings for repeatability, both teams in each game are given equal responsibility for the result. Each team is assigned a normal probability distribution for quality such that the most likely scenario considering all games at once is optimized. In doing so, home field advantage is factored where applicable and strength of schedule is automatically accounted for. After 1 game, a team's rating will simply be their net points divided by 2. Past the first game, relative strength of opponents and how far a result is from the expected result begin to factor in. Like the NFL ratings, the first few weeks' ratings are unreliable but quickly become increasingly accurate thereafter. Subtracting one team's rating from another's will give an expected point spread should they play at a neutral site.