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-->Full explanation of our college football ratings
2015 College Football Ratings Summary
College Conference W L P-Rank P-Rating R-Rank R-Rating CFP Rank AP Rank
BaylorBig 12101117.816.34
Brigham YoungIndependent10416.616.3
DukeACC10348.816.3
Florida InternationalConference USA1087-7.616.3
Michigan StateBig Ten102015.016.35
Mississippi StateSEC102214.316.325
North Carolina-CharlotteConference USA10125-23.216.3
Ohio StateBig Ten10125.316.31
Ohio U.Mid-American1095-9.616.3
Oklahoma StateBig 1210387.016.3
Old DominionConference USA10119-16.116.3
Texas ChristianBig 12101217.616.33
Western KentuckyConference USA1070-2.416.3
AlabamaSEC10225.0145.42
AuburnSEC10918.9145.46
South CarolinaSEC102511.4145.4
TennesseeSEC102114.9145.423
Texas A&MSEC10819.5145.416
ArizonaPac 1210406.7194.522
ArkansasSEC101815.2194.518
Boise StateMountain West10426.5194.520
FloridaSEC101616.8194.5
Florida StateACC10520.8194.511
GeorgiaSEC10620.8194.510
HawaiiMountain West1091-8.3194.5
IllinoisBig Ten10396.9194.5
KentuckySEC10553.1194.5
MarshallConference USA10465.6194.5
North Carolina StateACC10495.2194.5
Northern IllinoisMid-American1089-8.2194.5
NorthwesternBig Ten10455.8194.5
Notre DameIndependent10720.6194.59
OklahomaBig 12101417.3194.519
TempleAmerican Athletic10592.5194.5
TulsaAmerican Athletic1099-11.2194.5
UCLAPac 12101017.9194.513
USCPac 1210323.0194.58
UtahPac 1210309.6194.524
West VirginiaBig 12101915.0194.5
Air ForceMountain West0092-8.9400.0
Appalachian StateSun Belt00108-13.2400.0
ArmyIndependent00116-15.2400.0
Ball StateMid-American0098-10.7400.0
Boston CollegeACC00543.3400.0
BuffaloMid-American00115-15.0400.0
CaliforniaPac 1200436.5400.0
CincinnatiAmerican Athletic00601.8400.0
ClemsonACC001716.3400.012
Colorado StateMountain West0078-4.3400.0
ConnecticutAmerican Athletic00106-12.8400.0
East CarolinaAmerican Athletic0073-3.3400.0
Fresno StateMountain West0086-6.9400.0
Georgia TechACC00319.3400.015
HoustonAmerican Athletic0066-0.8400.0
IndianaBig Ten00631.0400.0
IowaBig Ten00533.9400.0
Iowa StateBig 120071-2.7400.0
KansasBig 120072-2.7400.0
Kansas StateBig 12002610.4400.0
Louisiana TechConference USA00640.9400.0
LSUSEC001516.9400.014
MarylandBig Ten00524.1400.0
MassachusettsMid-American00120-16.3400.0
MemphisAmerican Athletic00650.1400.0
Miami (Fla.)ACC002312.1400.0
Miami (Ohio)Mid-American00110-14.2400.0
Middle Tennessee StateConference USA0090-8.2400.0
MississippiSEC001317.4400.017
MissouriSEC002411.9400.021
NavyAmerican Athletic0084-6.7400.0
NevadaMountain West0083-6.4400.0
New MexicoMountain West00105-12.7400.0
North TexasConference USA00111-14.4400.0
OregonPac 1200421.3400.07
Oregon StatePac 1200582.9400.0
PittsburghACC00504.2400.0
RiceConference USA0088-7.7400.0
RutgersBig Ten00572.9400.0
San Diego StateMountain West0077-4.2400.0
San Jose StateMountain West00102-11.8400.0
South AlabamaSun Belt00109-13.3400.0
South FloridaAmerican Athletic0075-3.8400.0
SyracuseACC0067-1.1400.0
Texas TechBig 1200563.1400.0
ToledoMid-American0079-4.4400.0
Utah StateMountain West0085-6.9400.0
Wake ForestACC0074-3.3400.0
Washington StatePac 1200611.4400.0
WyomingMountain West00103-12.4400.0
AkronMid-American01118-15.890-4.5
Arkansas StateSun Belt01100-11.590-4.5
ColoradoPac 120181-4.890-4.5
Florida AtlanticConference USA0196-9.790-4.5
Georgia SouthernSun Belt01114-14.790-4.5
Kent StateMid-American01124-23.190-4.5
Louisiana-LafayetteSun Belt0182-5.190-4.5
Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt01107-13.290-4.5
MichiganBig Ten01377.590-4.5
Nevada-Las VegasMountain West01117-15.390-4.5
New Mexico StateSun Belt01127-23.490-4.5
Penn StateBig Ten01621.290-4.5
PurdueBig Ten0169-2.290-4.5
StanfordPac 1201329.390-4.5
TexasBig 1201514.190-4.5
Texas StateSun Belt01104-12.490-4.5
Texas-El PasoConference USA01112-14.590-4.5
Texas-San AntonioConference USA0194-9.390-4.5
TroySun Belt01122-18.090-4.5
VirginiaACC01475.690-4.5
WashingtonPac 12012810.290-4.5
Arizona StatePac 1201338.9111-5.4
Bowling Green StateMid-American01101-11.6111-5.4
LouisvilleACC012710.3111-5.4
North CarolinaACC01485.5111-5.4
WisconsinBig Ten01299.7111-5.4
Central FloridaAmerican Athletic0176-4.0116-6.3
Central MichiganMid-American0193-9.1116-6.3
Eastern MichiganMid-American01126-23.2116-6.3
Georgia StateSun Belt01128-25.0116-6.3
IdahoSun Belt01123-22.8116-6.3
MinnesotaBig Ten01446.0116-6.3
NebraskaBig Ten01358.4116-6.3
Southern MethodistAmerican Athletic01121-17.1116-6.3
Southern MississippiConference USA0197-10.4116-6.3
TulaneAmerican Athletic01113-14.6116-6.3
VanderbiltSEC0168-2.2116-6.3
Virginia TechACC01368.2116-6.3
Western MichiganMid-American0180-4.5116-6.3

College sports ratings use a somewhat less sophisticated version of the NFL model that does not use individual play data. Final scores and game location are the only data used. Unlike BCS computer ratings, point difference is factored rather than simply the outcome of the game. Instead of adjusting ratings for repeatability, both teams in each game are given equal responsibility for the result. Each team is assigned a normal probability distribution for quality such that the most likely scenario considering all games at once is optimized. In doing so, home field advantage is factored where applicable and strength of schedule is automatically accounted for. After 1 game, a team's rating will simply be their net points divided by 2. Past the first game, relative strength of opponents and how far a result is from the expected result begin to factor in. Like the NFL ratings, the first few weeks' ratings are unreliable but quickly become increasingly accurate thereafter. Subtracting one team's rating from another's will give an expected point spread should they play at a neutral site.