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-->Full explanation of our college football ratings
2015 College Football Ratings Summary
College Conference W L P-Rank P-Rating R-Rank R-Rating CFP Rank AP Rank
IowaBig Ten602413.6120.512
UtahPac 1260918.5220.33
Michigan StateBig Ten702911.2320.17
LSUSEC601416.4420.05
Texas ChristianBig 12601018.5518.74
MemphisAmerican Athletic50359.5617.418
Ohio StateBig Ten70618.9717.21
ClemsonACC50519.3816.86
Oklahoma StateBig 12502014.8916.714
FloridaSEC611117.91016.013
CaliforniaPac 12412712.21115.320
BaylorBig 1250130.91214.82
TempleAmerican Athletic60563.91314.722
Florida StateACC601316.61414.29
HoustonAmerican Athletic50319.61513.621
AlabamaSEC61224.11613.28
Notre DameIndependent61718.51712.811
ToledoMid-American60486.51812.719
Washington StatePac 1241496.11911.9
StanfordPac 1251818.52011.810
MichiganBig Ten521217.32111.215
PittsburghACC41379.22211.225
NorthwesternBig Ten42632.62310.4
OklahomaBig 1251322.22410.117
Texas A&MSEC511815.02510.015
MississippiSEC421914.9269.924
Brigham YoungIndependent52438.2279.0
Mississippi StateSEC422314.1288.5
Appalachian StateSun Belt41534.7298.3
NavyAmerican Athletic31515.6308.1
Penn StateBig Ten52593.5318.1
Western KentuckyConference USA61467.6327.8
AuburnSEC32389.1336.2
UCLAPac 12422512.8346.2
MarshallConference USA5171-0.3356.2
Texas TechBig 12422811.2365.7
Georgia SouthernSun Belt4176-2.3375.6
Boise StateMountain West422214.6385.3
OregonPac 1233418.7394.8
DukeACC41408.9404.823
WisconsinBig Ten523010.5414.7
Utah StateMountain West32369.4424.5
North CarolinaACC312114.7434.1
Western MichiganMid-American2379-2.5443.8
GeorgiaSEC421715.2453.8
IllinoisBig Ten32613.3463.8
TexasBig 1224554.0473.7
East CarolinaAmerican Athletic33583.7483.7
Bowling Green StateMid-American52622.7493.5
KentuckySEC32525.0503.4
Ohio U.Mid-American4293-8.5513.1
Miami (Fla.)ACC32339.6523.0
ArizonaPac 1242573.8532.8
West VirginiaBig 12231615.5542.7
Arizona StatePac 1233428.4552.2
MinnesotaBig Ten4377-2.4561.8
IndianaBig Ten33670.4571.7
MissouriSEC33505.8581.6
WashingtonPac 12232612.6591.5
CincinnatiAmerican Athletic2368-0.1601.4
RutgersBig Ten2374-1.3611.4
USCPac 1233419.5621.1
Kansas StateBig 1223544.0630.3
TennesseeSEC231516.0640.2
TulsaAmerican Athletic3386-6.265-0.5
NebraskaBig Ten34329.666-0.9
South FloridaAmerican Athletic2373-0.967-0.9
North Carolina StateACC32476.668-1.5
South CarolinaSEC34603.569-1.5
Louisiana TechConference USA33660.870-1.6
San Diego StateMountain West3388-6.571-1.6
LouisvilleACC14457.872-1.8
ArkansasSEC24349.673-1.9
RiceConference USA23104-13.374-2.5
Arkansas StateSun Belt2394-10.475-2.9
Virginia TechACC24448.076-3.0
SyracuseACC2378-2.477-3.3
Central MichiganMid-American2470-0.378-3.8
Southern MississippiConference USA3385-5.779-3.8
Iowa StateBig 121480-4.080-4.5
Northern IllinoisMid-American3369-0.181-4.6
Wake ForestACC2483-4.882-4.6
Air ForceMountain West2390-7.283-4.6
AkronMid-American2498-11.784-4.7
Kent StateMid-American24112-17.285-5.1
Oregon StatePac 121487-6.586-5.2
VirginiaACC1472-0.687-5.3
MarylandBig Ten1481-4.588-5.4
South AlabamaSun Belt23117-19.389-5.9
Old DominionConference USA23122-23.390-6.4
VanderbiltSEC14651.291-6.7
Southern MethodistAmerican Athletic1496-11.492-6.9
New MexicoMountain West33111-16.893-7.3
Middle Tennessee StateConference USA2475-1.994-7.3
Boston CollegeACC14641.595-7.4
Georgia TechACC15399.096-7.5
ConnecticutAmerican Athletic2482-4.797-7.7
Colorado StateMountain West2489-6.698-7.7
Georgia StateSun Belt23120-22.199-7.9
San Jose StateMountain West24101-12.5100-8.2
ColoradoPac 122484-5.4101-8.2
HawaiiMountain West15109-16.1102-10.2
IdahoSun Belt14121-22.5103-10.3
TulaneAmerican Athletic14119-21.0104-10.6
Louisiana-LafayetteSun Belt13100-12.4105-10.7
Florida InternationalConference USA2491-8.2106-10.7
Fresno StateMountain West15116-19.1107-10.7
NevadaMountain West2495-10.8108-10.8
Ball StateMid-American15105-13.3109-11.4
MassachusettsMid-American15108-16.0110-11.6
ArmyIndependent1497-11.6111-11.8
BuffaloMid-American14102-12.7112-11.9
North Carolina-CharlotteConference USA14128-29.8113-12.1
Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt05115-19.0114-12.4
Nevada-Las VegasMountain West15103-13.1115-12.6
KansasBig 1205106-14.2116-12.8
Florida AtlanticConference USA15110-16.1117-13.9
Texas-San AntonioConference USA16107-15.4118-13.9
Texas StateSun Belt04118-19.7119-14.9
Texas-El PasoConference USA14126-26.2120-14.9
PurdueBig Ten0692-8.4121-15.6
North TexasConference USA05124-24.7122-15.8
WyomingMountain West15113-17.8123-16.0
Miami (Ohio)Mid-American06125-25.2124-16.7
Eastern MichiganMid-American16123-23.7125-17.7
TroySun Belt05114-18.8126-18.4
Central FloridaAmerican Athletic0699-12.0127-20.3
New Mexico StateSun Belt06127-26.3128-20.6

College sports ratings use a somewhat less sophisticated version of the NFL model that does not use individual play data. Final scores and game location are the only data used. Unlike BCS computer ratings, point difference is factored rather than simply the outcome of the game. Instead of adjusting ratings for repeatability, both teams in each game are given equal responsibility for the result. Each team is assigned a normal probability distribution for quality such that the most likely scenario considering all games at once is optimized. In doing so, home field advantage is factored where applicable and strength of schedule is automatically accounted for. After 1 game, a team's rating will simply be their net points divided by 2. Past the first game, relative strength of opponents and how far a result is from the expected result begin to factor in. Like the NFL ratings, the first few weeks' ratings are unreliable but quickly become increasingly accurate thereafter. Subtracting one team's rating from another's will give an expected point spread should they play at a neutral site.