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-->Full explanation of our college football ratings
2015 College Football Ratings Summary
College Conference W L P-Rank P-Rating R-Rank R-Rating CFP Rank AP Rank
OklahomaBig 1281126.22012.21212
BaylorBig 1270225.61415.864
ClemsonACC80324.9222.711
AlabamaSEC81423.2817.523
Ohio StateBig Ten90520.3518.632
Notre DameIndependent81619.6420.946
USCPac 1263719.6269.9
StanfordPac 1281819.2717.677
Texas ChristianBig 1271919.0916.51513
Oklahoma StateBig 12801018.9321.585
TennesseeSEC441117.9405.3
LSUSEC711217.7618.099
FloridaSEC811417.41016.41111
Mississippi StateSEC621317.42210.71720
North CarolinaACC611517.2279.72317
MichiganBig Ten721616.61912.41415
UtahPac 12811715.81216.21010
Florida StateACC721815.6318.01619
MississippiSEC631915.52310.5
UCLAPac 12722014.0289.21918
HoustonAmerican Athletic802113.91315.92416
IowaBig Ten802213.4122.758
GeorgiaSEC532313.2424.9
WashingtonPac 12352413.0571.7
West VirginiaBig 12342512.8444.6
WisconsinBig Ten822612.62110.82523
Michigan StateBig Ten812712.51614.91314
Boise StateMountain West622812.3395.4
OregonPac 12532910.9337.8
Texas A&MSEC633110.8357.0
AuburnSEC443010.8415.2
ArkansasSEC443210.7434.8
CaliforniaPac 12443310.1376.8
North Carolina StateACC533410.0581.5
Georgia TechACC26359.885-4.3
NavyAmerican Athletic61368.61116.22022
LouisvilleACC44378.6512.5
PittsburghACC53388.3347.5
Texas TechBig 1245398.2483.0
MemphisAmerican Athletic71408.11515.42125
Virginia TechACC35417.981-3.4
Bowling Green StateMid-American72427.6367.0
Washington StatePac 1262437.42410.3
Brigham YoungIndependent62446.52510.2
TempleAmerican Athletic81466.41813.22221
Penn StateBig Ten73476.4298.8
NebraskaBig Ten46456.464-0.2
DukeACC53486.2522.4
Arizona StatePac 1235496.2630.7
Western KentuckyConference USA82505.4308.0
Kansas StateBig 1225515.375-2.2
Miami (Fla.)ACC53535.0385.8
CincinnatiAmerican Athletic44525.0502.7
ToledoMid-American71544.9327.8
Louisiana TechConference USA63554.7532.2
TexasBig 1245574.3542.2
South CarolinaSEC36564.380-3.1
MissouriSEC35583.770-1.5
NorthwesternBig Ten62593.41714.11824
Utah StateMountain West44602.573-1.7
VirginiaACC26611.784-4.3
IllinoisBig Ten44621.6562.1
ArizonaPac 1245631.569-1.1
Appalachian StateSun Belt62651.3454.6
Northern IllinoisMid-American53641.3620.7
VanderbiltSEC26661.382-3.8
Western MichiganMid-American53671.2463.8
South FloridaAmerican Athletic44680.8601.4
KentuckySEC35690.574-1.8
Boston CollegeACC17700.2110-12.8
Central MichiganMid-American44710.1591.5
San Diego StateMountain West5372-0.2610.8
East CarolinaAmerican Athletic3673-0.678-3.0
Air ForceMountain West5374-0.768-1.0
Iowa StateBig 122675-0.977-2.5
IndianaBig Ten3577-1.065-0.3
MinnesotaBig Ten4576-1.066-0.3
MarylandBig Ten1778-1.990-6.2
MarshallConference USA7279-2.3552.1
SyracuseACC2680-2.689-6.0
Georgia SouthernSun Belt5281-3.4473.0
Middle Tennessee StateConference USA3582-4.586-4.7
Wake ForestACC2683-4.8100-10.0
Southern MississippiConference USA5384-4.972-1.7
ColoradoPac 123685-4.996-8.0
ConnecticutAmerican Athletic4586-5.083-4.0
TulsaAmerican Athletic5487-6.867-0.6
RutgersBig Ten2688-7.076-2.2
Arkansas StateSun Belt5389-7.6492.9
Colorado StateMountain West3590-7.997-8.5
Oregon StatePac 121791-8.2102-10.8
PurdueBig Ten1792-8.3105-11.3
TroySun Belt2693-8.9108-12.5
San Jose StateMountain West3594-9.594-7.1
Florida InternationalConference USA4595-9.999-9.8
BuffaloMid-American4496-10.179-3.1
NevadaMountain West4497-10.693-7.1
AkronMid-American3598-11.288-5.9
Ohio U.Mid-American4499-11.871-1.6
Nevada-Las VegasMountain West26100-12.4103-10.8
ArmyIndependent16101-12.9119-15.5
Louisiana-LafayetteSun Belt34102-14.095-7.6
Southern MethodistAmerican Athletic17103-14.0109-12.6
Ball StateMid-American27104-15.4111-12.9
RiceConference USA35105-15.692-7.0
New MexicoMountain West44106-15.791-6.6
Florida AtlanticConference USA27107-15.7112-13.3
MassachusettsMid-American18108-16.3123-17.0
Central FloridaAmerican Athletic09109-16.7127-20.8
Texas-San AntonioConference USA18110-17.2124-17.3
WyomingMountain West18111-18.0125-18.5
TulaneAmerican Athletic17112-18.1113-13.5
South AlabamaSun Belt34113-18.887-5.5
Kent StateMid-American26114-19.8104-10.9
HawaiiMountain West18116-20.0116-14.7
KansasBig 1208115-20.0117-14.7
Texas StateSun Belt16117-20.4114-14.3
Fresno StateMountain West17118-20.5115-14.6
IdahoSun Belt26119-21.4107-12.4
Georgia StateSun Belt25120-21.8106-12.0
Miami (Ohio)Mid-American18121-22.8122-16.7
Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt08122-23.1126-19.8
Old DominionConference USA35123-23.598-9.4
Texas-El PasoConference USA35124-23.7101-10.2
North TexasConference USA17125-24.3120-15.6
Eastern MichiganMid-American19126-25.5128-21.7
New Mexico StateSun Belt27127-26.3118-15.3
North Carolina-CharlotteConference USA17128-30.4121-16.7

College sports ratings use a somewhat less sophisticated version of the NFL model that does not use individual play data. Final scores and game location are the only data used. Unlike BCS computer ratings, point difference is factored rather than simply the outcome of the game. Instead of adjusting ratings for repeatability, both teams in each game are given equal responsibility for the result. Each team is assigned a normal probability distribution for quality such that the most likely scenario considering all games at once is optimized. In doing so, home field advantage is factored where applicable and strength of schedule is automatically accounted for. After 1 game, a team's rating will simply be their net points divided by 2. Past the first game, relative strength of opponents and how far a result is from the expected result begin to factor in. Like the NFL ratings, the first few weeks' ratings are unreliable but quickly become increasingly accurate thereafter. Subtracting one team's rating from another's will give an expected point spread should they play at a neutral site.