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-->Full explanation of our college football ratings
2015 College Football Ratings Summary
College Conference W L P-Rank P-Rating R-Rank R-Rating CFP Rank AP Rank
North Carolina StateACC20397.41610.2
Florida StateACC30918.4228.610
SyracuseACC2069-1.1257.9
Miami (Fla.)ACC202412.8267.5
ClemsonACC201815.1317.111
PittsburghACC11494.9472.2
Wake ForestACC1187-5.9551.1
Virginia TechACC113010.8600.7
DukeACC11504.7620.5
Georgia TechACC111515.9650.120
North CarolinaACC113110.781-2.6
Boston CollegeACC01552.591-5.5
VirginiaACC02446.494-5.9
LouisvilleACC03456.4125-12.1
TempleAmerican Athletic30591.3113.6
MemphisAmerican Athletic20416.91310.8
HoustonAmerican Athletic10543.5394.4
NavyAmerican Athletic10620.5404.2
TulsaAmerican Athletic2183-5.2443.5
CincinnatiAmerican Athletic1180-4.5590.8
ConnecticutAmerican Athletic1194-8.468-0.5
Southern MethodistAmerican Athletic12102-11.686-4.4
East CarolinaAmerican Athletic0279-4.492-5.8
South FloridaAmerican Athletic0285-5.5110-9.1
Central FloridaAmerican Athletic0277-4.2111-9.2
TulaneAmerican Athletic02123-20.6121-10.8
OklahomaBig 12301316.5312.815
Texas ChristianBig 12202512.71410.74
Texas TechBig 12202612.6199.0
Kansas StateBig 1220339.9297.3
Oklahoma StateBig 12202014.7307.324
BaylorBig 1210719.5327.05
West VirginiaBig 12101117.1355.8
TexasBig 1212524.072-1.4
KansasBig 120198-10.989-4.8
Iowa StateBig 120281-4.898-6.7
Ohio StateBig Ten30521.4213.61
NorthwesternBig Ten203210.1412.617
Michigan StateBig Ten302812.11011.12
IndianaBig Ten20600.81510.6
IowaBig Ten20466.1189.7
Penn StateBig Ten21514.3374.9
MichiganBig Ten21349.4423.9
MinnesotaBig Ten2167-0.7511.6
WisconsinBig Ten212213.7640.422
NebraskaBig Ten122313.178-2.2
IllinoisBig Ten11581.583-3.3
MarylandBig Ten1171-2.390-5.4
RutgersBig Ten0276-4.2104-8.2
PurdueBig Ten0291-7.8122-10.9
Western KentuckyConference USA2166-0.6414.0
Florida InternationalConference USA1193-8.2482.2
Middle Tennessee StateConference USA11572.0501.8
Old DominionConference USA11113-15.9561.0
North Carolina-CharlotteConference USA11128-30.0610.6
MarshallConference USA1164-0.270-0.6
RiceConference USA1188-6.077-1.9
Southern MississippiConference USA1196-8.979-2.2
Texas-El PasoConference USA12124-20.788-4.7
Louisiana TechConference USA02562.295-6.6
Texas-San AntonioConference USA03116-16.5107-8.7
Florida AtlanticConference USA03107-13.1124-12.0
North TexasConference USA02120-19.4127-12.5
Notre DameIndependent30619.81211.16
Brigham YoungIndependent212911.3287.322
ArmyIndependent02108-13.3120-10.8
ToledoMid-American20610.8218.7
Ohio U.Mid-American2086-5.6248.5
Ball StateMid-American1197-9.5453.1
Northern IllinoisMid-American1170-1.5570.9
BuffaloMid-American1189-7.0660.0
Bowling Green StateMid-American1272-2.780-2.4
Eastern MichiganMid-American12118-18.297-6.6
MassachusettsMid-American02117-17.0101-7.4
Central MichiganMid-American0284-5.2102-7.5
Western MichiganMid-American02100-11.4105-8.4
AkronMid-American02114-16.0106-8.5
Kent StateMid-American02119-18.9115-9.6
Miami (Ohio)Mid-American02122-20.1119-10.7
HawaiiMountain West1195-8.5433.9
Boise StateMountain West11475.7521.5
Air ForceMountain West1175-3.5630.4
Fresno StateMountain West02105-12.893-5.8
NevadaMountain West0290-7.299-6.9
Utah StateMountain West0274-3.2103-7.6
San Jose StateMountain West02110-14.4113-9.3
Nevada-Las VegasMountain West03109-13.5114-9.5
New MexicoMountain West02115-16.5116-10.1
San Diego StateMountain West02101-11.5117-10.1
Colorado StateMountain West0282-4.9123-11.0
WyomingMountain West02121-19.5126-12.2
UCLAPac 12301017.4811.59
UtahPac 1230369.11111.118
CaliforniaPac 1220378.5209.0
ArizonaPac 1220388.2277.416
Washington StatePac 122063-0.1336.6
StanfordPac 12211416.0346.321
ColoradoPac 122168-0.7531.3
OregonPac 12111615.6541.113
USCPac 1221819.267-0.419
Arizona StatePac 1211407.169-0.5
Oregon StatePac 121173-3.073-1.4
WashingtonPac 1211359.375-1.6
LSUSEC20422.0512.08
MississippiSEC20125.7612.03
FloridaSEC302712.3711.8
Texas A&MSEC301216.7911.314
GeorgiaSEC30323.6179.87
MissouriSEC20533.9238.625
AlabamaSEC21224.2365.612
KentuckySEC21485.5384.8
Mississippi StateSEC111715.2462.9
TennesseeSEC111914.9491.9
AuburnSEC112113.8580.8
South CarolinaSEC12426.776-1.8
ArkansasSEC12436.484-3.6
VanderbiltSEC0265-0.5112-9.3
Georgia SouthernSun Belt1192-8.071-0.6
South AlabamaSun Belt11104-12.574-1.5
Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt01103-12.382-3.0
Appalachian StateSun Belt01106-13.085-3.8
Louisiana-LafayetteSun Belt0178-4.387-4.5
Georgia StateSun Belt12126-23.396-6.6
TroySun Belt02112-15.0100-7.1
Arkansas StateSun Belt0299-11.2108-8.8
IdahoSun Belt02125-22.9109-8.8
Texas StateSun Belt02111-14.4118-10.4
New Mexico StateSun Belt03127-26.0128-15.8

College sports ratings use a somewhat less sophisticated version of the NFL model that does not use individual play data. Final scores and game location are the only data used. Unlike BCS computer ratings, point difference is factored rather than simply the outcome of the game. Instead of adjusting ratings for repeatability, both teams in each game are given equal responsibility for the result. Each team is assigned a normal probability distribution for quality such that the most likely scenario considering all games at once is optimized. In doing so, home field advantage is factored where applicable and strength of schedule is automatically accounted for. After 1 game, a team's rating will simply be their net points divided by 2. Past the first game, relative strength of opponents and how far a result is from the expected result begin to factor in. Like the NFL ratings, the first few weeks' ratings are unreliable but quickly become increasingly accurate thereafter. Subtracting one team's rating from another's will give an expected point spread should they play at a neutral site.