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-->Full explanation of our college football ratings
2015 College Football W-L Resume Ratings
Rk College Conference Rating W L R0 R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17
15NorthwesternBig Ten14.5930.04.55.612.615.618.014.010.412.312.114.113.615.816.816.516.514.514.5
17FloridaSEC13.01040.04.56.111.815.117.819.816.015.817.016.417.517.714.413.413.412.813.0
12LSUSEC15.4930.00.08.712.016.016.516.120.020.820.918.013.612.313.113.213.215.215.4
8Texas ChristianBig 1217.61020.06.38.710.716.416.019.318.718.318.716.516.814.616.415.815.817.617.6
3Ohio StateBig Ten20.61210.06.310.213.611.615.516.017.218.518.418.619.515.918.518.818.820.620.6
35TempleAmerican Athletic8.11040.04.59.813.613.215.315.914.717.213.013.29.711.712.411.311.38.18.1
23UtahPac 1212.11030.04.58.511.113.715.219.020.314.315.216.212.810.710.911.011.012.012.1
36Texas A&MSEC7.8750.05.48.111.312.015.214.910.09.210.27.07.79.48.18.28.27.67.8
7IowaBig Ten18.31120.00.06.39.710.615.016.520.521.421.322.722.923.024.120.820.818.318.3
2ClemsonACC24.01310.00.04.57.18.814.315.816.819.121.422.722.922.923.825.125.126.524.0
6OklahomaBig 1218.51120.04.510.312.813.513.98.110.111.411.412.215.117.519.519.319.318.818.5
32CaliforniaPac 128.8750.00.04.59.011.113.814.915.311.78.36.86.86.47.58.08.08.88.8
16Oklahoma StateBig 1213.6930.06.36.37.310.013.716.816.717.218.921.522.217.615.314.714.713.613.6
29ToledoMid-American10.31020.00.07.98.78.913.512.612.713.714.27.811.013.19.19.19.110.310.3
31MemphisAmerican Athletic9.7840.00.06.310.811.913.514.617.419.420.115.414.712.012.812.912.99.79.7
10HoustonAmerican Athletic16.51210.00.05.34.45.413.113.113.613.714.615.919.012.214.816.216.216.516.5
5StanfordPac 1219.51220.0-4.5-1.36.310.512.710.911.813.616.717.613.815.417.318.418.419.519.5
4Michigan StateBig Ten20.51220.06.37.811.111.412.613.920.120.321.014.915.218.619.521.621.620.320.5
13NavyAmerican Athletic15.01020.00.00.04.210.012.28.88.18.510.516.216.517.715.015.215.215.115.0
27Florida StateACC10.5930.04.57.48.610.011.613.114.27.98.28.08.88.712.412.312.310.610.5
20BaylorBig 1212.2930.06.38.17.09.211.513.114.814.914.615.812.016.814.910.610.612.312.2
9MississippiSEC17.2930.00.04.512.012.510.811.39.913.015.110.511.613.014.514.614.616.917.2
14MichiganBig Ten15.01030.0-4.50.73.97.910.014.311.210.612.212.412.514.813.413.613.614.915.0
1AlabamaSEC26.81310.05.49.35.66.78.79.313.214.915.617.519.620.121.022.122.125.026.8
79KentuckySEC-3.6470.04.510.44.88.18.78.73.41.1-1.5-1.8-2.6-2.2-4.5-4.6-4.6-3.7-3.6
69IndianaBig Ten-0.6570.00.06.310.613.18.26.71.71.30.6-0.3-2.0-0.20.91.01.0-0.6-0.6
26Western KentuckyConference USA11.41220.06.37.94.06.27.88.87.87.68.18.07.58.19.110.010.011.411.4
39UCLAPac 126.7850.04.57.311.514.77.68.06.29.08.79.26.99.88.48.58.56.76.7
11Notre DameIndependent16.21030.04.59.311.110.17.511.512.814.218.420.920.521.118.418.518.516.416.2
38PittsburghACC6.7750.00.05.92.24.17.49.511.213.28.67.59.310.28.27.97.96.86.7
65Ohio U.Mid-American0.6750.06.39.28.54.37.08.13.1-0.2-0.7-1.6-1.1-0.91.51.41.40.60.6
33USCPac 128.7860.04.55.6-0.43.86.82.01.15.39.19.99.88.910.49.99.98.78.7
66MissouriSEC0.1470.00.05.68.63.96.74.71.6-1.2-1.1-1.51.91.20.0-0.1-0.10.00.1
57MinnesotaBig Ten2.3670.0-6.30.01.67.36.57.21.81.1-0.4-0.3-0.11.60.80.70.72.32.3
25Mississippi StateSEC11.7840.06.30.02.96.76.46.38.59.79.610.79.011.39.59.69.611.511.7
64DukeACC0.6750.06.35.50.54.06.36.24.87.83.62.40.7-1.5-0.3-0.4-0.40.70.6
43West VirginiaBig 126.2750.04.55.85.88.76.12.92.72.52.24.66.56.67.34.64.66.26.2
41Brigham YoungIndependent6.5840.06.311.17.35.86.08.49.08.98.910.26.57.38.08.08.06.56.5
46Penn StateBig Ten4.7760.0-4.51.04.95.36.09.78.19.710.08.87.96.26.06.16.14.64.7
63Kansas StateBig 120.8570.00.05.87.37.45.64.20.3-0.8-1.1-2.2-3.4-1.1-0.91.11.10.80.8
62Boise StateMountain West1.1840.04.51.31.53.45.58.05.34.56.05.40.3-1.00.10.00.01.11.1
21GeorgiaSEC12.1930.04.57.99.810.04.80.93.84.03.44.98.59.79.99.69.611.912.1
54Georgia SouthernSun Belt2.8840.0-4.5-0.8-0.62.84.43.85.63.63.73.04.02.53.80.10.12.82.8
19Washington StatePac 1212.5930.00.06.36.67.34.38.511.912.99.610.312.513.610.911.211.212.512.5
59Arizona StatePac 121.9570.0-5.4-4.6-0.5-4.34.23.92.23.11.30.72.34.03.13.23.21.91.9
51MarshallConference USA3.5930.04.50.9-0.60.94.05.46.25.26.22.12.82.72.32.32.33.53.5
82East CarolinaAmerican Athletic-4.5470.00.0-4.1-5.80.34.02.13.71.8-1.3-3.0-3.0-1.7-3.0-3.1-3.1-4.5-4.5
91SyracuseACC-6.7380.00.04.57.93.63.9-1.0-3.3-4.5-5.0-6.0-6.5-7.0-6.3-6.3-6.3-6.7-6.7
34Appalachian StateSun Belt8.61020.00.0-4.5-3.83.03.75.58.39.910.14.66.15.86.27.47.48.88.6
70IllinoisBig Ten-0.7470.04.54.5-3.30.23.31.63.80.5-0.42.11.7-0.6-0.7-0.8-0.8-0.7-0.7
60CincinnatiAmerican Athletic1.3660.00.0-5.10.8-1.03.22.91.42.52.92.73.21.94.54.54.51.31.3
40Miami (Fla.)ACC6.6750.00.05.87.59.13.00.63.00.84.75.84.64.98.68.58.56.86.6
30North CarolinaACC10.3930.0-5.4-7.4-2.6-0.82.92.14.15.28.89.710.911.913.212.312.310.510.3
18OregonPac 1212.5840.00.0-3.61.1-2.22.8-0.44.84.26.77.810.812.613.113.513.512.512.5
45Texas TechBig 125.5660.00.03.39.04.62.44.55.74.74.13.04.64.46.05.85.85.55.5
67North Carolina StateACC-0.2660.04.54.510.211.32.4-0.9-1.50.0-0.51.51.21.40.50.60.6-0.1-0.2
80TulsaAmerican Athletic-3.6670.04.57.93.55.02.11.2-0.5-2.1-0.6-0.6-1.5-2.8-1.2-1.1-1.1-3.6-3.6
37AuburnSEC7.1660.05.44.10.8-3.11.21.66.23.31.85.23.54.23.43.53.56.97.1
22WisconsinBig Ten12.11030.0-5.4-0.10.43.70.52.94.77.78.510.811.18.610.610.310.312.012.1
42Bowling Green StateMid-American6.31040.0-5.4-1.2-2.4-0.60.42.63.55.66.37.09.06.67.48.38.36.36.3
58ArizonaPac 122.0660.04.57.97.44.60.22.22.82.0-0.4-1.11.90.80.70.80.82.02.0
71Air ForceMountain West-1.0760.00.04.50.41.3-0.80.2-4.6-2.9-1.3-1.00.54.01.2-0.1-0.1-1.0-1.0
52Louisiana TechConference USA2.8840.00.0-3.6-6.6-1.2-1.21.4-1.6-0.11.82.21.73.00.70.80.82.82.8
78South CarolinaSEC-3.1380.05.4-0.1-1.80.6-1.2-2.7-1.5-1.6-2.1-3.1-2.5-2.3-3.0-3.2-3.2-3.1-3.1
44LouisvilleACC5.8750.0-5.4-9.4-12.1-12.5-1.5-2.1-1.8-1.10.42.53.32.03.53.63.65.95.8
47WashingtonPac 124.6660.0-4.5-5.6-1.6-3.7-1.64.71.50.43.11.7-0.20.63.13.23.24.64.6
28ArkansasSEC10.4750.04.5-2.2-3.6-5.8-1.7-2.0-1.91.11.44.88.97.88.28.38.310.310.4
108Ball StateMid-American-13.5290.00.0-3.53.10.1-1.9-6.8-11.4-13.9-11.6-12.9-12.6-13.2-13.2-12.9-12.9-13.5-13.5
85Iowa StateBig 12-5.4290.00.0-6.3-6.7-6.4-2.1-4.3-4.5-5.1-1.0-2.5-2.7-4.6-5.7-5.6-5.6-5.4-5.4
104Oregon StatePac 12-12.31100.00.0-5.8-1.4-2.5-2.4-3.8-5.2-9.1-9.7-10.8-11.6-12.8-12.9-12.8-12.8-12.3-12.3
55NebraskaBig Ten2.8670.0-6.3-0.6-2.2-0.3-2.5-5.4-0.9-2.1-4.3-0.21.01.41.41.41.42.82.8
93South AlabamaSun Belt-7.4470.00.0-6.3-1.5-3.6-2.6-2.9-5.9-7.3-7.3-5.5-4.6-6.4-7.1-7.6-7.6-7.3-7.4
112Boston CollegeACC-14.4190.00.00.0-5.5-0.2-2.6-6.8-7.4-10.0-12.8-12.8-12.3-12.4-13.9-14.1-14.1-14.3-14.4
95ColoradoPac 12-8.4390.0-4.5-1.11.31.3-3.2-6.3-8.2-5.9-7.3-8.0-8.4-8.6-8.4-8.3-8.3-8.4-8.4
81Utah StateMountain West-4.4570.00.0-3.4-7.6-8.0-3.30.64.50.71.8-1.7-3.5-2.2-3.1-3.1-3.1-4.5-4.4
24TennesseeSEC11.9840.05.41.61.91.4-3.4-0.50.20.93.55.37.28.89.19.19.111.711.9
122HawaiiMountain West-17.92100.04.52.43.90.0-3.4-7.7-10.2-11.8-13.5-14.7-17.3-19.0-18.6-18.3-18.3-17.9-17.9
72Central MichiganMid-American-1.1660.0-6.3-6.3-7.5-8.3-3.5-6.5-3.8-1.70.81.50.21.00.60.50.5-1.1-1.1
61Southern MississippiConference USA1.3850.0-6.3-8.7-2.2-4.6-3.8-6.2-3.8-1.7-1.4-1.7-0.30.82.71.91.91.21.3
53TexasBig 122.8570.0-4.50.9-1.4-3.8-4.13.23.75.22.42.21.21.0-0.42.72.72.92.8
102Wake ForestACC-12.0290.00.0-4.51.1-1.4-4.4-2.1-4.6-8.0-10.0-10.0-10.4-10.6-11.7-11.8-11.8-11.9-12.0
75VanderbiltSEC-2.1380.0-6.3-8.7-9.3-9.1-4.7-5.5-6.7-3.7-4.0-3.8-0.7-1.9-2.7-2.7-2.7-2.2-2.1
76ConnecticutAmerican Athletic-2.3570.00.04.5-0.5-3.7-4.7-3.7-7.7-9.0-6.0-4.0-3.40.0-0.2-0.1-0.1-2.3-2.3
74AkronMid-American-2.0750.0-4.5-7.5-8.5-2.7-5.2-2.7-4.7-5.0-7.7-5.9-4.7-3.6-2.8-3.0-3.0-2.0-2.0
68Virginia TechACC-0.3660.0-6.3-5.00.7-4.2-5.3-1.7-3.0-4.5-3.2-3.4-1.5-2.6-1.0-1.1-1.1-0.2-0.3
84New MexicoMountain West-5.3660.00.0-5.8-10.1-7.3-5.4-9.0-7.3-9.5-9.4-6.6-3.8-6.0-4.1-4.3-4.3-5.3-5.3
88RutgersBig Ten-6.2380.00.0-6.3-8.2-4.4-5.5-5.61.40.6-1.1-2.2-4.8-3.7-6.2-6.1-6.1-6.2-6.2
114MassachusettsMid-American-14.8390.00.0-6.5-7.4-8.3-5.5-7.0-11.6-11.3-14.5-17.0-15.2-18.0-14.6-14.6-14.6-14.8-14.8
115Nevada-Las VegasMountain West-15.2290.0-4.5-8.3-9.5-9.6-5.5-8.4-12.6-12.0-12.8-10.8-12.5-13.4-15.8-15.7-15.7-15.2-15.2
56Arkansas StateSun Belt2.7840.0-4.5-8.3-8.8-9.9-5.7-7.0-2.9-1.7-0.42.94.43.94.24.54.52.72.7
94Georgia TechACC-7.7290.00.03.30.1-3.1-6.1-6.4-7.5-1.3-3.7-4.3-6.4-7.3-7.2-7.3-7.3-7.6-7.7
73Northern IllinoisMid-American-1.3760.04.53.50.9-3.7-6.2-5.5-4.6-4.5-4.80.72.94.31.30.20.2-1.3-1.3
97RiceConference USA-10.5470.00.0-5.8-1.9-4.1-6.7-2.2-2.5-1.7-4.1-7.0-9.7-11.5-10.8-10.6-10.6-10.5-10.5
106Southern MethodistAmerican Athletic-12.3290.0-6.3-1.5-4.4-3.4-7.0-7.4-6.9-9.3-11.9-12.6-13.0-10.6-11.1-11.4-11.4-12.3-12.3
48Western MichiganMid-American4.5750.0-6.3-9.1-8.4-8.1-7.3-3.33.83.54.23.81.70.13.93.63.64.54.5
109Kent StateMid-American-13.7290.0-4.5-4.5-9.6-11.4-7.5-7.8-5.1-7.3-8.1-10.9-11.6-13.1-13.6-13.6-13.6-13.7-13.7
98Florida InternationalConference USA-10.7470.06.30.62.2-2.7-7.6-6.4-10.7-8.2-11.2-9.8-10.4-11.3-10.8-10.7-10.7-10.7-10.7
83MarylandBig Ten-5.2290.00.0-9.2-5.4-5.9-7.7-6.0-5.4-6.0-5.9-6.2-5.5-7.9-4.5-4.6-4.6-5.2-5.2
86Colorado StateMountain West-5.7660.00.0-8.7-11.0-5.3-7.8-9.4-7.7-7.5-9.3-8.5-7.7-4.9-4.2-4.2-4.2-5.7-5.7
100Old DominionConference USA-11.1470.06.38.71.0-5.0-8.0-8.8-6.4-9.2-10.7-9.4-8.0-8.7-11.2-11.1-11.1-11.0-11.1
49San Diego StateMountain West4.41030.00.0-4.5-10.1-11.7-8.2-3.5-1.60.11.30.80.71.51.83.03.04.44.4
89NevadaMountain West-6.4660.00.0-5.8-6.9-1.0-8.2-6.2-10.8-8.8-9.1-7.1-5.7-7.2-8.3-8.2-8.2-6.4-6.4
117TulaneAmerican Athletic-15.6290.0-6.3-8.8-10.8-10.6-8.4-9.1-10.6-9.3-10.5-13.5-11.2-13.6-14.8-14.8-14.8-15.6-15.6
77Middle Tennessee StateConference USA-2.5660.00.0-3.21.8-3.9-8.5-9.7-7.3-8.3-8.7-4.7-3.1-2.9-2.0-1.9-1.9-2.6-2.5
92San Jose StateMountain West-7.2570.00.0-4.5-9.3-5.9-8.7-4.8-8.2-6.9-6.8-7.1-8.6-7.7-9.3-9.3-9.3-7.2-7.2
96BuffaloMid-American-9.2470.00.0-5.70.0-4.1-9.4-9.0-11.9-7.2-5.4-3.1-4.9-6.3-8.8-8.9-8.9-9.2-9.2
125ArmyIndependent-21.0190.00.0-4.5-10.8-7.5-9.4-10.5-11.8-13.6-14.4-15.5-18.8-20.4-20.8-20.8-20.8-21.0-21.0
126Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt-21.31110.0-4.5-3.6-3.0-5.5-9.6-11.8-12.4-15.1-17.9-19.8-20.5-22.8-24.8-21.3-21.3-21.3-21.3
107Florida AtlanticConference USA-13.3390.0-4.5-7.9-12.0-6.8-9.7-12.6-13.9-15.7-13.1-13.3-15.5-16.1-13.2-13.1-13.1-13.3-13.3
110Texas-San AntonioConference USA-14.0390.0-4.5-7.9-8.7-13.7-9.7-12.2-13.9-13.3-15.7-17.3-15.0-12.9-14.2-14.0-14.0-14.0-14.0
90Georgia StateSun Belt-6.7660.0-6.3-0.4-6.6-9.6-10.1-12.7-7.9-9.3-9.3-12.0-10.3-8.4-8.0-5.3-5.3-6.7-6.7
124North Carolina-CharlotteConference USA-19.31100.06.38.50.6-7.8-10.1-11.5-12.1-14.8-15.2-16.7-19.0-18.7-19.4-19.0-19.0-19.3-19.3
87VirginiaACC-5.8380.0-4.5-7.0-5.9-9.7-10.2-9.6-5.3-6.2-3.1-4.3-6.4-4.2-5.7-5.8-5.8-5.7-5.8
50South FloridaAmerican Athletic3.8750.00.0-3.7-9.1-9.1-10.6-4.1-0.9-0.7-1.21.44.15.56.56.46.43.83.8
120Texas StateSun Belt-17.2290.0-4.5-3.7-10.4-12.1-11.1-15.2-14.9-10.0-10.5-14.3-16.6-15.3-16.8-17.1-17.1-17.2-17.2
99Texas-El PasoConference USA-10.8470.0-4.5-8.9-4.7-6.1-11.6-14.1-14.9-12.6-13.2-10.2-11.5-12.0-10.7-10.9-10.9-10.8-10.8
121KansasBig 12-17.70110.00.0-6.3-4.8-9.3-11.8-12.8-12.8-13.2-13.5-14.7-15.1-15.9-17.7-17.7-17.7-17.7-17.7
105TroySun Belt-12.3380.0-4.5-4.5-7.1-6.0-12.8-13.6-18.4-14.9-15.0-12.5-13.5-13.7-14.9-12.5-12.5-12.3-12.3
103IdahoSun Belt-12.0380.0-6.3-7.3-8.8-11.9-13.2-13.9-10.3-8.4-12.2-12.4-13.0-13.5-12.3-12.3-12.3-12.0-12.0
111Louisiana-LafayetteSun Belt-14.3380.0-4.5-2.9-4.5-10.6-13.3-9.3-10.7-11.2-10.3-7.6-8.9-11.6-12.4-14.3-14.3-14.3-14.3
118Miami (Ohio)Mid-American-15.9290.00.0-6.1-10.7-11.5-13.7-13.8-16.7-17.3-19.4-16.7-18.6-16.0-15.5-15.6-15.6-15.9-15.9
113Fresno StateMountain West-14.7290.00.0-4.5-5.8-9.9-14.0-14.3-10.7-12.2-11.8-14.6-12.5-12.9-15.0-14.9-14.9-14.7-14.7
101PurdueBig Ten-11.81100.0-4.5-5.8-10.9-14.9-14.8-14.4-15.6-15.7-10.5-11.3-10.7-11.1-12.1-12.1-12.1-11.8-11.8
128Eastern MichiganMid-American-23.81110.0-6.30.0-6.6-13.6-15.0-17.8-17.7-19.4-20.1-21.7-23.8-24.2-23.7-23.7-23.7-23.8-23.8
123North TexasConference USA-18.31100.00.0-6.6-12.5-13.2-16.1-15.5-15.8-16.2-14.1-15.6-15.9-16.0-18.3-18.3-18.3-18.3-18.3
127Central FloridaAmerican Athletic-22.90110.0-6.3-11.1-9.2-12.1-16.3-18.5-20.3-20.0-20.5-20.8-20.5-21.8-22.1-22.1-22.1-22.9-22.9
119WyomingMountain West-16.5290.00.0-8.7-12.2-18.7-19.1-21.0-16.0-16.4-16.9-18.5-18.7-18.8-16.6-16.6-16.6-16.5-16.5
116New Mexico StateSun Belt-15.3390.0-4.5-10.1-15.8-17.0-19.7-21.5-20.6-23.8-19.4-15.3-15.6-12.7-13.2-15.2-15.2-15.3-15.3

College sports ratings use a somewhat less sophisticated version of the NFL model that does not use individual play data. Final scores and game location are the only data used. Unlike BCS computer ratings, point difference is factored rather than simply the outcome of the game. Instead of adjusting ratings for repeatability, both teams in each game are given equal responsibility for the result. Each team is assigned a normal probability distribution for quality such that the most likely scenario considering all games at once is optimized. In doing so, home field advantage is factored where applicable and strength of schedule is automatically accounted for. After 1 game, a team's rating will simply be their net points divided by 2. Past the first game, relative strength of opponents and how far a result is from the expected result begin to factor in. Like the NFL ratings, the first few weeks' ratings are unreliable but quickly become increasingly accurate thereafter. Subtracting one team's rating from another's will give an expected point spread should they play at a neutral site.